Clemson-Appalachian State game projections |
Brandon Rink
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- Wednesday, September 04 2024
How will Clemson respond in this week's home opener?
The Tigers take on Appalachian State Saturday (8 p.m./ACCN) looking to even the season record and gain some much-needed momentum before the ACC schedule begins.
As it turned out, the 14-16 point model projections were too low for Georgia last week in Atlanta. Some Vegas odds that dipped to as low as 10.5 points pregame were not predictive of a closer score, which finished a 34-3 result in the No. 1 Bulldogs' favor.
Clemson is a 17.5-point favorite currently over the Mountaineers, with 90% of the money going to Clemson's side as of Wednesday morning (per VegasInsider). The projection models would say that's a bit optimistic.
The best one in Clemson's favor takes the Tigers by 15, with the FEI, by a 32-17 score.
ESPN's SP+ has it as a 10-point game, while CFBGraphs bumps that a point more to 11.
Clemson slipped to No. 31 in the SP+ rankings overall, with a No. 48-rated offense, No. 30 defense and No. 98 special teams group ($).
That matches up with an App State team ranked 56th, with a No. 34 offense, No. 90 defense, and No. 27 special teams group.
By that rating, Clemson still trails FSU, but only by 0.2 rating points and one spot overall. The Tigers are also listed as underdogs on a neutral field to Miami (7.4 margin), Louisville (5.7), and SMU (0.8). For the ACC opener in about two weeks, Clemson is six spots above NC State (1.4 margin).
Clemson-App State projections
FEI: 32-17 Clemson (84.6%)
SP+: 34-24 Clemson (73%)
ESPN FPI: Clemson 81.6%
CFBGraphs: Clemson 35-24 (79.4%)
🍾🪩 WEEK 2 SP+ PICKS 🥳🪅
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) September 3, 2024
Texas 28, Michigan 21
Nebraska 30, Colorado 20
Iowa 21, ISU 14
Tennessee 34, NC St 20
Okla St 34, Arkansas 27
Kansas 31, Illinois 25
LOOK AT THAT BEAUTIFUL LATE-SATURDAY SLATEhttps://t.co/w7ALlZmRqT pic.twitter.com/nsasC6Z4Mf
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