Clemson given best Playoff odds going into road test
|Sunday, November 4, 2018, 10:13 AM- -|
The calendar has moved to November and the College Football Playoff contenders are positioning and re-positioning.
A projected top-three of Alabama, Clemson and Notre Dame all pulled away to keep their seasons perfect Saturday, while previous No. 3 LSU found out just how dominant the Crimson Tide are in a 29-0 home loss. With that game scheduled Saturday, the Bayou Bengals' chances weren't high on the CFP projections anyway going in.
ESPN's FiveThirtyEight model still has Clemson as the most likely team to make the Playoff (86) but Alabama's improved by nearly double-digits (76) and they eked ahead of ACC Tigers in chances to win it all (32-31). With a win at BC Saturday night, Clemson's chances are projected to jump into the 90th percentile (93) and would be even on odds with Alabama for the national title.
Notre Dame is given the third-best chance to win out among Playoff contenders (49) and the third-best chance to make the CFP (58) before hosting Florida State Saturday. Oklahoma (41) narrowly edges fellow one-loss teams in Georgia (40) and Michigan (40) for the final CFP spot. Teams that need some chaos include Ohio State (19), Washington State (13) and West Virginia (12).
ESPN's updated Playoff Predictor Sunday gives Clemson the best chance to both make the Playoff (92) and the championship game (63). Michigan is given the nod to make the fourth spot there (50), followed by Georgia (40) and Oklahoma (34).
As for rankings right now, Michigan would appear to be the favorite to take over the top-4 spot vacated by LSU, moving into the No. 4 place in new ESPN analyst rankings from Kirk Herbstreit, Joey Galloway and Jesse Palmer. All three have Georgia as the No. 5 team after a top-10-ranked win at Kentucky Saturday on its collision course with Alabama in Atlanta in early December.
ESPN top-5 ranks
Kirk Herbstreit: 1. Alabama 2. Clemson 3. Notre Dame 4. Michigan 5. Georgia
Joey Galloway: 1. Alabama 2. Clemson Notre Dame 4. Michigan 5. Georgia
Jesse Palmer: 1. Alabama 2. Clemson 3. Notre Dame 4. Michigan 5. Georgia
Zero change in the top 4 of my #DKtop8 because I use common sense.— Danny Kanell (@dannykanell) November 4, 2018
3. Notre Dame
5. West Va
7. Washington St
And I’m going to say it every week until everyone realizes it’s true:— Danny Kanell (@dannykanell) November 4, 2018
Clemson is just as strong as Bama.
1. Alabama- is a machine— Maria Taylor (@MariaTaylor) November 4, 2018
2. Clemson- offense is basically the Golden Sate Warriors on Grass
3. Notre Dame- is good not Lucky
4. Michigan- is the Big 10 champ