TNET: Advanced outlook: Playoff scenarios after 1st ranking, Clemson-NC State projections

MoCity

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Re: TNET: Advanced outlook: Playoff scenarios after 1st ranking, Clemson-NC State projections

Nov 6, 2019, 4:13 PM

To really parse what the 538 algorithm tells us, you have to look at which teams really control their destiny. I put Baylor and Minnesota on the bottom because neither has a legit chance of winning out.

These are the teams who "we win, we in". One each from the Big Ten, SEC and then Clemson.
Clemson_____68%___>99%
Ohio_State___47%___>99%
Alabama_____27%___>99%
LSU________17%____>99%
Georgia______14%___>99%
Penn_State___13%___>99%

Now is where it gets interesting.
Oklahoma____26%____86%
Oregon______44%____74%
Utah________32%____70%

Oklahoma is really ahead of Oregon and Utah despite being behind both on them in the current CFP poll.

Last and least are Baylor and Minnesota.
Baylor________6%____96%
Minnesota_____2%____98%

Baylor's 8-0 will likely end up 8-4 or 9-3. They are about to get steamrolled. Same for Minnesota both they actually have a legit shot to finish and 11-1 or 10-2.

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TNET: Advanced outlook: Playoff scenarios after 1st ranking, Clemson-NC State projections

So what i read into those "playoff chances"

Re: TNET: Advanced outlook: Playoff scenarios after 1st ranking, Clemson-NC State projections

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