Dan Scott: USC - Clemson Prediction |
OFFENSE
Much like the Maryland game a week ago, much of the focus today will be in the trenches. Clemson's offensive line, already a patchwork crew, could be further hampered if guard Cedric Johnson (stinger) can't play. His status won't be known until pregame drills. If he can't go, Nate Gillespie steps in and will be asked to help protect quarterback Charlie Whitehurst. Gillespie performed reasonably well in relief of Johnson against the Terps, but the fact that he played more snaps in that game than in his entire three-plus years with the Tigers speaks volumes about his experience level. And make no mistake about it. Clemson needs a good game from its offensive line in the worst way. Give Whitehurst time to throw, and he can attack USC's secondary and see how good it really is. For the Gamecocks, the question remains "Where do the points come from?" USC ran for over 220 yards against Florida a week ago, yet scored just 7 points. Quarterback Dondrial Pinkins is expected to make just his second start of the season, though Corey Jenkins likely will play, too. If USC is to have a breakout offensive performance, one of the two must come alive in the passing game. ADVANTAGE - Even DEFENSE Clemson's recent struggles with stopping the run have been well documented. South Carolina, knowing that, likely will feed the Tigers a steady diet of power ground attack. Look for Clemson to load up the box and dare USC to throw. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks will be shooting pressure at Whitehurst from a variety of angles today, almost daring Clemson to run. Something's got to give. ADVANTAGE - USC SPECIAL TEAMS This game boils down to field position. Clemson's Wynn Kopp has the worst net punting average (30.0) in the ACC. The one thing that could kickstart the USC offense is operating on a short field. Take away the punting woes, and the Gamecocks trail their opponents in every other special teams category. ADVANTAGE - Clemson COACHING Tommy Bowden is beginning to feel a little heat over his offense, so expect the entire playbook to be emptied. Lou Holtz has shown signs of desperation during his team's four-game losing streak. Again, watch for anything and everything. ADVANTAGE - Even BOTTOM LINE Try as I might, when it boils right down to the end I just don't see USC scoring enough points to win this game. Although, if they have a shot at the end, anything can happen. This year it's USC throwing deep at the end of the game, hoping for a miracle. Justin Miller's interception saves the day. THE PICK Clemson 17, USC 9
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