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Topic: Tigers open in Vegas as 3 point favorite
Replies: 13   Last Post: Oct 17, 2021, 5:27 PM by: TigersAndCubs®
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Replies: 13  

Tigers open in Vegas as 3 point favorite


Oct 17, 2021, 9:19 AM
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Me neither

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And it quickly drops to 1 point.***

[1]
Oct 17, 2021, 9:21 AM
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Re: Tigers open in Vegas as 3 point favorite


Oct 17, 2021, 9:35 AM
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It’s like they haven’t seen us play. Should be 14 point dog.

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Re: Tigers open in Vegas as 3 point favorite


Oct 17, 2021, 9:46 AM
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Not sure why this has to be explained repeatedly. Vegas doesn't think we will win by 3. Lines are set by public perception. People still believe Clemson is the entire ACC and that Pitt is well, Pitt.

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If you set a bad line though all of the smart money


Oct 17, 2021, 9:49 AM
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will be on Pitt. You need a lot of idiots in the general public to bet on Clemson to offset the people that know what they are doing.

I would be really interested to see what side most of the money has gone on in our recent games.

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Re: If you set a bad line though all of the smart money


Oct 17, 2021, 10:17 AM
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This is why the line jumped down to 1 so quickly. Sharp money jumped on Pitt at +3. Similar thing happened with the Cuse game. We opened at -17 and the line immediately jumped down to -13 because of the money that went on Cuse.

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That is evidence against your argument though IMO***


Oct 17, 2021, 1:05 PM
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There are sports casinos all over Lima


Oct 17, 2021, 2:06 PM
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Walked in to put $1000 on Syracuse minus 17 but just couldn't do it.

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It's tough to bet against your own team***


Oct 17, 2021, 5:27 PM
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Re: Tigers open in Vegas as 3 point favorite


Oct 17, 2021, 10:56 AM
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Pretty sure this is AI setting the spreads and not human bookmakers. I don't think any objective human that has watched both teams play would put us as the favorite. They have some ML code looking at points-for and points-against etc.

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Unreal.


Oct 17, 2021, 9:41 AM
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I figured it would open around a pickem and even that is overvaluing Clemson. We should absolutely be a dog in this one.

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Re: Tigers open in Vegas as 3 point favorite


Oct 17, 2021, 1:07 PM
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Apparently they haven’t gotten insights yet from the TNet Pitt worshipers.

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Oh Pitt isn't anything special


Oct 17, 2021, 1:11 PM
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They just happen to be better than us.

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Pitt is no UGA, you're right


Oct 17, 2021, 2:11 PM
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but do you really think Clemson should not be the underdog in your heart of hearts?

I mean underdogs win all the time and we can certainly win this game. No way we should be favored though.

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Replies: 13  

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