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What's actually causing inflation?
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What's actually causing inflation?


Feb 11, 2022, 9:14 AM

Thoughts on this take?

https://robertreich.substack.com/p/truth-about-inflation?fbclid=IwAR07_bzpKIoBB9eZQJbJRH7HDNY23pf1HmV9pbdp_kfSOEc4UFLi-SouPRc

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Its odd they waited till Brandon got in office to kickstart


Feb 11, 2022, 9:24 AM

inflation ...

I mean corporate America is all about end of quarter results. Every quarter.

I guess they are a great scapegoat for inept government.

(Did you want to disclose that Reich is a former Clinton crony, and a Scranton native just like Brandon ?)

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Did I NEED to disclose that?


Feb 11, 2022, 9:42 AM

He's a pretty recognizable name.

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So typical of reich. Of course there are situations where this


Feb 11, 2022, 9:30 AM

Is the case, but this take is disingenuous in totally glossing over the fed policy disasters and wasteful governmental programs that have fundamentally changed labor markets.

Too much liquidity chasing too few assets… simple but spot on

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null


Re: What's actually causing inflation?


Feb 11, 2022, 9:32 AM

We've had these issues before the sudden rise in prices. Companies will raise prices to the point that profits are maximized. And not just large corporations. More competition will always help with price. The last President that worried about monopolies was TR. At this point you would probably have to institute term limits for Congress to really start looking into this.

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I stopped at Robert Reich


Feb 11, 2022, 9:35 AM

dude is a pure political wacko.

But all the free money we've been giving out. Pure and simple imo. Add in supply chain problems and its making it a ton worse.

This is just a small glimpse into what will happen if we ever start giving out like $500-1000/mo for free, like dems want.

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Robert Reich isn't tall enough to understand inflation.***


Feb 11, 2022, 11:10 AM



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https://as1.ftcdn.net/v2/jpg/00/81/16/28/1000_F_81162810_8TlZDomtVuVGlyqWL2I4HA7Wlqw7cr5a.jpg


It's agenda-driven IMO


Feb 11, 2022, 9:37 AM

Almost stopped at this sentence, but kept reading....

the real reason for inflation: the increasing concentration of the American economy into the hands of a relative few corporate giants with the power to raise prices.

And yes, it's agenda driven and political. The reason we have inflation is because we long ago created more demand with cheap debt, than we could ever supply ourselves. We used foreign (cheaper) labor to deflate our currency for DECADES NOW. This deflation was offset by spending and cheap debt. Add to that illegal (cheaper) foreign imported labor (illegals), and you also deflate domestic labor prices. Again, offset by cheaper debt, more money to spend, kept in check only from cheaper external labor sources.

Covid broke our deflation mechanisms which for decades has allowed us to literally swim in debt and consumption. So the supply of cheaper labor vanishes, and the things we depend on vanish, and then the things working to deflate the dollar to allow our lavish lifestyle are taken, or decrease, and that leaves a demand that we can no longer meet. We do not stand on our own two feet economically, and haven't for some time now.

It's all a big scheme, that's been working for decades now. And as much as the author would hate to admit it, it's been BIPARTISAN. Republicans and democrats have both played along, because cheap debt means more spending, which means more vote-buying in Congress, and reelection. The GOP pushed and passed NAFTA. Gutted manufacturing and the middle class, but led to very cheap underwear imported from Guatemala. And we equate this with economic prosperity. Home builders can then sign a contract with cheap debt financing a home buyer, and build a house with underpaid foreign laborers, and build the buyer more house than they could otherwise afford, supplemented wherever possible by materials imported as well. Builder makes a higher profit, lender gets an asset they can then resell for a higher profit (MBS) to the fed, and home buyer gets more house, and illegal makes more money than they could make in Guatemala or wherever, and they send money back to Guatemala to pay for their mother's cancer drugs where she would have died without it.

Yeah, he's flat out wrong, and it's a political piece. I'm not buying it because ZERO republicans or democrats are saying what I just mentioned above, because they can't. The article is some early finger-pointing which will only get worse, and we are no less "informed" or educated by it. In reality, his original complaint/excuse, is actually an unavoidable byproduct of what I just outlined. It is an effect, not a cause.

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I think he's right....BUT


Feb 11, 2022, 9:44 AM

I think his points are more of a symptom than the actual cause, if that makes sense.

And I think there are predominantly three factors driving this, assuming no pandemic, and then an obvious factor that has to be considered given we had a pandemic.

1 - The amount of regulations in "staple" product type of market verticals (i.e. food, paper, fuel/energy, mfg) make it nearly impossible for more competition. There's simply too much red tape for smaller businesses to get going without massive funding.

2 - If there's a chance that a small business does make it, they're eventually bought out. I've bitched about this quite a bit, that the blueprint for growth in the modern global economy is to do so through M&A. This is very prevalent in the Tech sector - why invest in your own firm to do X when you can just buy a competitor that does X. T and CMCSA are also doing this by providing you internet, then owning the content providers.

I suggest reading a book called Makers & Takers. Phenomenal book that looks at the whole picture of how financialization has given us the economy we're witnessing today (and what this guy is bitching about).

3 - Financial policies favor those who can take on the most debt. The Fed is at fault for this by propping up the banks following the GFC, promoting MMT, and creating asset bubbles these bean counters are using as leverage to take on more debt. It's insane.

The Uniparty has left the Fed and Corporations unchecked for 30 years - what did anyone honestly expect?

The Covid 4 is both a Fed and Gov problem. The pandemic was a deflationary event (a recession). We prohibited that from happening by injecting trillions and trillions of dollars into the economy. This injection left the top line stagnant while the productivity and capacities of firms across the country took a massive dump. You can't have this scenario and not expect an inflation > stagflation scenario.

There were signs of trouble in the markets prior to Covid, so we were in some trouble before the virus got here. Which is a very interesting topic for another day.

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I left out another point


Feb 11, 2022, 9:52 AM

The consolidation of assets across the top asset managers - the guys who own the guys that this guy is bitching about, if you're smelling what I'm stepping in - is even more of a problem that has exacerbated since the GFC. It is absofuckinglutely insane how much power and influence BlackRock and Vanguard have. They're getting close to a combined asset valuation of $20T.

They're the 4th branch of the government. And they're telling the government what to do.

You don't have this type of asset growth without the Fed's policies over the past 30 years. Again, something I've been bitching about for a long time now.

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I'll also add, thanks to Citizen's United, none of this will


Feb 11, 2022, 11:31 AM

change

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I like your funny words magic man


When I was responsible for selling large volumes


Feb 11, 2022, 9:48 AM

of Emulsion Polymers (Acrylics, VAc, etc), we used to send out Industry announcements of a pending price increase. That was a veiled message to our competitors that they could raise price also. If everyone selling EPs raised price at same time, no one would lose any business....yeah, price fixing ;).

The current reality is not so much about lack of competition, but is because real inflationary pressures have been present for 15+ years, but efficiency improvements in manufacturing have offset the need to push the inflation all the way to the retail point.

The ### finally burst because covid causing supply disruptions which revealed the real costs in any system...

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Oh yes, I'm sure that the creation of trillions of new $s


Feb 11, 2022, 9:51 AM

out of thin air has nothing to do with inflation. It's simply all those evil corporations in the free market, of course! You know, the free market where certain corporate banks have the government-backed right to create new money, and the government meddles endlessly in literally every aspect of business. Obviously it is freedom's fault here, and has nothing to do with government policy!

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Think they are really missing the point


Feb 11, 2022, 11:09 AM

When the Fed takes a bazooka to the balance sheet like they did in 2020-21, it caused a massive ripple effect

* Asset prices across the board (stocks, real estate, crypto, car prices, collectibles, you name it)

* Consumer spending increases because everyone feels wealthier/boredom from COVID, etc

* People quitting lower paying jobs because they feel wealthier, mental healh, whatever

* Older working generation retiring early because their home price and retirement accounts spiked to be able to afford them to


In summary - Worker pool lower, labor costs go up, prices get passed down to consumers, input prices also higher due to lower worker pool and inefficiencies from COVID (quarantines, distancing measures) > consumers willing to pay said prices because we aren't in a recession

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Re: What's actually causing inflation?


Feb 11, 2022, 11:34 AM

not what, but who.



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Robert Reich is a ####### liberal moron***


Feb 11, 2022, 12:02 PM



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