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Orange Blooded [2291]
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Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....
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May 1, 2024, 10:00 AM
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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
This is within the margin of error, although Trump has consistently polled better for many months. I don't know this for sure. But my guess is that Kennedy's presence helps Biden, because I think Kennedy will siphon away more Trump-leaning voters.
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110%er [5118]
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Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....
May 1, 2024, 10:01 AM
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Trump leads in the swing states. That's all that matters.
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CU Guru [1581]
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Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....
May 1, 2024, 10:26 AM
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Exactly
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All-TigerNet [13589]
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Behind 9+ pts in the most recent drop-box survey.***
May 1, 2024, 10:01 AM
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CU Guru [1581]
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Re: Behind 9+ pts in the most recent drop-box survey.***
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May 1, 2024, 11:41 AM
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It’s like beating Duke in Cameron. Gotta win by 12 points to win the game.
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CU Guru [1581]
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Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....
May 1, 2024, 10:25 AM
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Kennedy is polling best in heavily blue states like California and Washington. Biden is polling considerably worse than in those states than he did in 2020. Partly bc Trump is polling better but mainly bc Kennedy is taking votes. This, to me, proves Kennedy is taking away a significant amount of votes from Biden. Trump is also ahead in every battleground state. He is over 10% ahead of Biden in Florida. Florida is no longer a battleground state.
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Orange Blooded [2291]
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Biden is in a tough spot in the battleground states....
May 1, 2024, 11:18 AM
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It's too early to draw any conclusions, because many people aren't yet paying attention, but he is currently behind.
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CU Guru [1581]
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Re: Biden is in a tough spot in the battleground states....
May 1, 2024, 11:42 AM
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True. When we get to August we will have a better picture.
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CU Guru [1581]
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110%er [7151]
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CU Guru [1120]
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Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....
May 1, 2024, 11:37 AM
[ in reply to Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls.... ] |
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Kennedy is polling best in heavily blue states like California and Washington. Biden is polling considerably worse than in those states than he did in 2020. Partly bc Trump is polling better but mainly bc Kennedy is taking votes. This, to me, proves Kennedy is taking away a significant amount of votes from Biden. Trump is also ahead in every battleground state. He is over 10% ahead of Biden in Florida. Florida is no longer a battleground state.
Don’t tell Balm that, he lives there
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All-In [25461]
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It's baseball season, so... "Swing and a miss!"***
May 1, 2024, 10:36 AM
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CU Medallion [56553]
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Kennedy has my vote, assuming he can get on the ballot in Virginny.***
May 1, 2024, 10:45 AM
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Oculus Spirit [98567]
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A Whitewater Romance will premiere on Hallmark on May 11th.
May 1, 2024, 11:04 AM
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And oddly, I care more about that than Trump or Biden's poll numbers.
And let me tell you how much I care about Hallmark movies........so much I went and looked it up to reply honestly to this post.
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Orange Blooded [2291]
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If you don't care, then why even post a response?****
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May 1, 2024, 11:17 AM
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Hall of Famer [23342]
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I think Kennedy hurts Biden more
May 1, 2024, 1:23 PM
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The Republican Never Trumpers will now vote for Kennedy instead of choosing between 'no vote' and Biden. Without Kennedy, Biden would pick up some of those votes.
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Oculus Spirit [82305]
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If Trump wins, is the election still rigged?***
May 1, 2024, 3:18 PM
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110%er [7151]
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No, but unfortunately
May 1, 2024, 3:20 PM
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Doesn't matter who wins, shit's gonna be on fire.
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CU Guru [1658]
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