Re: If we were polymarket, what are the chances we get to CFP? 10, 20, 30% ?

DaboSaves · 2024-11-17T13:37:32.024Z

I’d say we are at 20% chance, needing things to fall right.

If we were polymarket, what are the chances we get to CFP? 10, 20, 30% ?

Re: If we were polymarket, what are the chances we get to CFP? 10, 20, 3

FtInnTiger

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Nov 17, 2024, 9:47 AM [ in reply to Re: If we were polymarket, what are the chances we get to CFP? 10, 20, 30% ? ]

I agree partially. The Louisville loss hurt. But in this new CFP era we can't afford to schedule an out of conference SEC powerhouse anymore our first game of the year or anytime of the year for that matter. We already have an SEC opponent on our schedule every year, USC, the last game. That is enough. If we didn't schedule GA and we played a lower tier team like a lot of teams did in the top 20 we would have been 7-0 going into the Louisville game and ranked around 5 to 7. Sure tgey could say we hadn't beat any good highly ranked teams. But it wouldn't have mattered much. After the loss we drop in ranking to around #12. And even if we lose to USC 1 out of 3 games we still go to the ACC Championship game and more than half the time we win and are in tge playoffs with a bye. Even if we lose tge ACC Championship we're probably in the CFP. Lots of 2 loss teams will be in. Even 1 or 2, three loss teams might get in from the SEC.... So, it's the GA loss to blame much more than the Louisville loss. If we were only a one loss team in the ACC right now where would we be ranked? To get the answer all you have to do is look at the rankings of Miami, Boise St., SMU, and BYU. That is where Clemson would be ranked. Probably higher than those teams because of our CFP history.

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0%; they aint stupid***

Not exactly

I realize that. But being undefeated in conference play is extremely rare. No matter what conference you're in. Every team usually has a slip up game. Even Danny Ford would have a loos to the likes of Duke once a year. Even during our playoff run from 2015 - 2020 we usually had a conference loss. But we won all the rest of our non-conference and conference games. Now because of the first game loss to a Highly rankled SEX team we have been on the outside looking in for the entire season. If we schedule a powder-puff we are in the top 12 for the first 7 or 8 weeks of the season up until then Louisville loss. Then we drop to 11-13. Still in the picture. Then we go undefeated the rest of the way and were back in the top 12 and in the CFP. Even without a conference championship win or conference championship loss. We would be in the picture for sure is all I am saying. But of course without a bye. I would take that in a heartbeat. Instead of having that first game loss 2out of 3 times and being behind the 8ball for the year and having to go undefeated from game 2 onward. Comprende?

If we were polymarket, what are the chances we get to CFP? 10, 20, 30% ?