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How buying transfers will impact programs over time. FSU, Miami & Louisville...
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Tiger Boards - Clemson Football
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How buying transfers will impact programs over time. FSU, Miami & Louisville...

6

Aug 12, 2024, 10:13 AM

Despite all the confident prognosticating, we simply don't know how building and reloading teams with paid-for transfers will work for programs long-term.

FSU, Miami, and Louisville should tell us a lot about the medium/long-term implications of embracing transfers as a central element of depth chart building.

FSU had an amazing year last year. I believe they were screwed out of the playoffs. We don't know how they would have fared because most of their team (full of mercenaries) ditched them for their bowl game and they got absolutely embarrassed in such a fashion the primary memory of that otherwise amazing season is shameful.

It will be interesting to see how FSU does this year. What will their discipline be like? What will their effort look like? What will the dynamic be with coaches? I will be watching them closely this year and will let their performance inform me regarding the utility of transfer team-building.

Miami will be another interesting case. They were not good last year. (Yes they beat us and we were not good either) 5 of 11 starters on defense are transfers. 4 of 11 are on offense. If they gel and have a top-10 season, that will say a lot to me.

The playoff teams from last year were mostly developed players recruited in the program. Defending champs Michigan only have 2 total projected starters who have transferred in. (compared to FSU's 9) UGA only has 1 transfer projected to start. And still only a total of 2 if you also include transfers from previous years. (Compare that to Miami's 11 projected starters [half the team!] who transferred at some point.)

Ohio State has 3 projected starting transferees, but LOUISVILLE HAS 8 TRANSFER STARTERS ON OFFENSE ALONE. They have 6 transfers (this year and previous years) slated to start on defense too. Louisville is #1 in the transfer portal rankings (since that is a thing) and we will see how that correlates to the actual ranking. I doubt it will for UGA because they were 64th in the ranking. They had 25 players transfer out. Louisville had 33! (Clemson had 12)

We learned something from Colorado last year, the most extreme case. Transfers definitely help generate hype. But their team fell apart by the middle of the season. Wonder how Colorado does this year.

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we'll also see how not "buying" transfers will impact a program over time

3

Aug 12, 2024, 10:19 AM

it's a one-way street right now - that doesn't seem conducive to long term success, but time will tell.

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"Time will tell" is the key. I think the next couple years will show us a lot.

4

Aug 12, 2024, 10:25 AM

If Clemson slides further, despite the coaching upgrades, that will be strong evidence that Dabo's approach to roster management has been a disaster. If Clemson rebounds and has a top-10 year that will be hard evidence in the other direction.

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It will depend a lot on who has the boosters with the deepest pockets. That

2

Aug 12, 2024, 10:33 AM

drives recruiting of the portal and high school players more than anything now.

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The recent changes have definately made money more directly connected to wins...

2

Aug 12, 2024, 10:41 AM

but thankfully there is still some wiggle room for other factors. Michigan, Texas, UGA, and Ohio State being at the top makes sense... but it will be interesting to see if Texas A&M can convert their piles of cash into wins. Seems like their ROI has not been there.

I am hoping big that Dabo's somewhat more traditional approach is validated by results soon.

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No one can every explain how this is sustained. There is no motivation for big

5

Aug 12, 2024, 10:50 AM [ in reply to It will depend a lot on who has the boosters with the deepest pockets. That ]

NIL donors to keep paying into a a pool where players can leave after one year and in which the donors get no financial return on their investment. They truly are pissing money away as they get no cut of the financial success their donations make. They aren't even tax deductible. It is a system that will collapse under it's own weight unless many small contributors are used to build a school's NIL and even then contributors will not be happy that players come in for one year and can leave.

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Re: No one can every explain how this is sustained. There is no motivation for big

1

Aug 12, 2024, 11:23 AM

Let's hope it collapses.

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Re: No one can every explain how this is sustained. There is no motivation for big


Sep 3, 2024, 10:13 AM [ in reply to No one can every explain how this is sustained. There is no motivation for big ]

This is also what I don't understand. Eventually, it feels like the money will start to dry up, all other things being equal to now.

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Re: How buying transfers will impact programs over time. FSU, Miami & Louisville...

6

Aug 12, 2024, 11:01 AM

I guess my postion is how transfers effected me watching and enjoying professional sports. It used to be that the guys on my team were my guys for life and they would always be my guys with very few changes.
In baseball it has gotten to the point where trades happen so much that a favorite player might actually be playing for the opposing team before the game is over. Who wants to be a fan of that?

When I was a boy we could be fans of teams like the Steelers during the Terry Bradshaw years because those guys played together most of their profootball careers. The same of the Cowboys or even lousy teams like the Patriots (the Patriots have sucked more than they have ever been good). Almost the entire team were household names even if (like me) you were not Steelers fans. I was a Pats fan and I knew my team and could expect all the senior members to be back next year. Now that it is all about the money, I barely watch because I can't count on the team being the team I know. It's too much work to follow it.

I think of RedSox greats, Ted Williams 1939-1960 and Carl Yastzremski 1961-1983 all with the RedSox. Or Reds great Johnny Bench who played for the Reds from 1967 to 1980. His entire career. These guys created not just their own following, but a following for baseball because fans felt like they were a part of their community and part of their lives. Fast forward to now and baseball is dying. It is largely because of "free agency". The very thing we are doing to college football. Few people know their team so few people care. The players have ceased to be people in their community, they are just corporate tools now.

Look at the NBA....most of the old greats up through Michael Jordan, Larry Bird, and Magic Johnson era, played for one or perhaps two teams their entire careers. People were fans of these guys, but even bigger fans of the Bulls, Celtics or Lakers.

By the time we get to Shaquille O'neal and Lebron Jomes people are no longer big fans of the teams, but just follow players around. O'neal played for 6 NBA teams, James has been on four and will likely be on a couple more before he is done. The result of how the NBA does things has completely killed me off as a fan. There was a time when I was a huge fan of the Celtics and not just a Larry Bird fan. I new the whole team even the bench and I was invested in their success. Now I can't tell you the name of a single player and I don't care because half of them won't be there next season.

Why is this? It is because they took a TEAM SPORT and made it about the individuals and the money they got. It's not about the team or the fans and that is what transfer portal is doing to college football. Teams sports lose their soul when the players are just transient temp workers.

I don't give a rip if a Clemson team full of Johnny Come-Lately transfers ever wins a game. They come this year and go next. They don't care about Clemson, about South Carolina, or any of the student...nothing. It wrecks the best part about being a fan of a team sport and that is the team, the family of fans that look at their team as part of the whole.

Do you actually think there is an FSU crowd out there that is are giant fans and followers of DJU? Or any that really cares about any of their latest hired guns? Winning is fun, but winning with a team of people that you know and have supported for years is way friggin better. I would rather lose with a team I know and supported from being freshmen than win with a bunch of first year juniors and seniors who I don't know.

Yant comepleted.

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Re: How buying transfers will impact programs over time. FSU, Miami & Louisville...

1

Aug 12, 2024, 11:42 AM

Neon Deion is a prime example of the failure in buying a lot of players.

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Re: How buying transfers will impact programs over time. FSU, Miami & Louisville...


Aug 12, 2024, 12:01 PM

Don't blame the players for accepting money to play in college. Should be receiving part of the gate receipts anyway since they (players) are the reason fans show up for games. But, gonna change college sports at all levels and most likely not food for the Sport. At some point colleges are gonna have to decide if 1) can afford to continue or 2) want to continue with a semi-pro league teams. Time will tell.

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There is no such thing as semi pro college sports.


Aug 12, 2024, 1:16 PM

Either it's pro or it's not.

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A 400% increase in wins in a single season is a failure?


Aug 12, 2024, 1:17 PM [ in reply to Re: How buying transfers will impact programs over time. FSU, Miami & Louisville... ]

Your Appeal to Small Sample Size magic is not working out.

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It dies just fine for Michigan, Georgia, Alabama...


Aug 12, 2024, 1:14 PM

LSU, Texas, Washington, Oregon, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Mizzou...

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We got a piece of data on this today.***


Aug 24, 2024, 7:12 PM



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Looks like heavy transfer-building is like crack. The high is fast and intense.


Sep 3, 2024, 9:37 AM

But afterwards you are dying in the gutter.

FSU flew close to the sun and collapsed HARD.

Miami looks like they are heading towards the sun right now.

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