It really is a silly game,

Chuckston T-Man® · 2025-03-21T15:04:40.133Z

there will be no Fed rate cuts this year as prices rise while GDP growth slows. The Fed tried to avoid saying the quiet part out loud to avoid spooking the markets - Stagflation is setting in and the odds of rate cuts are slim to none.

The "Trump tariff inflation" is picking up steam and markets are realizing that

The market was doing pretty well for a

Tiggity®

Ultimate Clemson Legend [108385]

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4% unemployment is not part of a lost decade. Nor is 85% prime age LPR

Mar 21, 2025, 12:00 PM

Or a climbing market/GDP/etc.

Nope, it's just now starting.

Japan. Look at their economy/government and you will see the future of our own, and that's probably a best-case scenario. They managed a whole lot of dumbassery in the past fairly well. Lost decade, stagflation, debt never went away, but they didn't collapse or have a depression either. So anyway......

My biggest fear is what is known but not yet known. In the midst of the problems we know about, there could be lurking problems we don't know about that are massive. I knew in 2003 lenders were making dumb loans on houses. I turned one down it was so dumb. BUT, I also had no clue how BIG AND WIDESPREAD the dumb mortgages were because I was simply an end-user who only experienced them once. I wasn't in the industry to know how many there were or how bad it was. But when 2008 came around I was surprised, but not surprised. Not surprised because I knew exactly what happened and why, surprised though because I thought my experience was just an anomaly and not the norm. Shirley every bank and lender couldn't be offering these dumb loans. Nope, they were.

The next crisis is out there, waiting to be found. Warren Buffet knows what it is. Whoever is shipping tens of billions in gold from Switzerland to NY, they know too. MASSIVE amounts of gold are leaving Europe for the US. The signs are there, and whenever it pops, most people like myself will probably know, but never knew.