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YOUR BALANCE
Im classified a pumper. Self proclaimed realists say were going to be embarrassed.
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Im classified a pumper. Self proclaimed realists say were going to be embarrassed.

11

Sep 18, 2023, 5:22 PM

Yet the people who make their living setting lines have set it at FLST -1; a toss-up.

Which begs the question, who is really out of touch with reality?


Can any of you realists explain this contradiction?

https://www.tigernet.com/clemson-forum/message/fsu-game-will-be-uglyyyyy-33301714

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FSU ranks 108 in pass defense. 64 in run defense.

4

Sep 18, 2023, 5:25 PM

I know they have a legit offense, but their defense is garbage.

No turnovers and we win.

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Ive compiled reactions and responses to develop this mental model.

6

Sep 18, 2023, 7:31 PM

The results are rather profound. Even I was surprised by the outcome.

Using Vegas insiders as the standard bearer for reality, it appears on average the Tigernet realists are over 100% further divorced from reality than the pumpers.



It’s also noteworthy that the analysis shows pumpers rarely identify themselves as such. They tend to just state an opinion.

A plurality of realists, on the other hand, take great pride in announcing themselves as a realist before making their declarations.


Overall conclusion:

The people on Tigernet who proudly self identify as realists are at least 100% further divorced from reality than the people they describe as pumpers.

Don’t shoot the messenger-

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Re: FSU ranks 108 in pass defense. 64 in run defense.

1

Sep 18, 2023, 7:56 PM [ in reply to FSU ranks 108 in pass defense. 64 in run defense. ]

Your coots are not playing us this weekend. FSU is.

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Re: FSU ranks 108 in pass defense. 64 in run defense.

1

Sep 18, 2023, 9:37 PM

72 coot trying to make a joke!!

2025 orange level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Their total offense is 33rd. Ours is 20th.***

1

Sep 19, 2023, 3:08 PM [ in reply to FSU ranks 108 in pass defense. 64 in run defense. ]



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Re: Their total offense is 33rd. Ours is 20th.***


Sep 19, 2023, 4:31 PM

Sched*

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Re: Im classified a pumper. Self proclaimed realists say were going to be embarrassed.

4

Sep 18, 2023, 5:28 PM

I’m expecting a tight game that could even come down to the last possession. I just hope it doesn’t come down to a FG try.

2025 purple level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

I've heard the MBA guy was nails at Porter Gaud back

1

Sep 18, 2023, 5:38 PM

in the day. Just like riding a bike. Not concerned about that anymore!

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Re: I've heard the MBA guy was nails at Porter Gaud back

1

Sep 18, 2023, 5:53 PM

Wrong board. You should be over on Fighting Gamecock Forum.

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I will give you my best guess on Sunday am.

3

Sep 18, 2023, 5:32 PM

But seriously, it's hard to believe what is true. FSU was so hyped after winning against LSU, but what if LSU isn't that good? Colorado is being hyped but when do they play someone? I think we will know more about teams as weeks go along, but hard for me to say that we are out of this game and hard for me to be overconfident too.

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Re: Im classified a pumper. Self proclaimed realists say were going to be embarrassed.


Sep 18, 2023, 5:57 PM

If it's FSU -1 don't you owe the explanation?

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Not at all. The line was Clemson -3. It has been updated to FSU -1.


Sep 18, 2023, 5:59 PM

I stated it correctly then, I’m doing so now, and my overarching question is the same.

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Re: Im classified a pumper. Self proclaimed realists say were going to be embarrassed.

4

Sep 18, 2023, 6:19 PM

I hate preseason polls. But, since they exist, I will reference one here. There is a reason those people had Clemson finishing ahead of FSU in the media poll. And, a reason Clemson was top 10 in those same polls.

But for a 1 in 200 game versus Duke where the most mundane things went wrong; the most laughable simple plays blew up - we are still likely top 10 and the line is exactly where it is now!

Folks who go "PUMPER" to me are a bit "dramatic".
The sky is falling and the world is coming to an end if we don't hang 80 on people like Oregon does. It's unreal. Some among us are spoiled as if a National Championship is promised/guaranteed. Believe the man now - "it's hard to win"! DDRAINS - great question.

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Re: Im classified a pumper. Self proclaimed realists say were going to be embarrassed.

2

Sep 18, 2023, 10:13 PM

The thing I keep coming back to is, if FSU played like they did Saturday against Duke, they lose by double digits.

That said, their W against LSU will age well and we don’t have a quality win yet, so difficult to really gauge this team.

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I'm as real as they get......the game will be close......

1

Sep 18, 2023, 6:29 PM

we ARE NOT getting embarrassed.

for no football reason whatsoever.

FSU has won at Clemson ONE TIME since 2001.................very similar to the UT@UF deal.

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Re: Im classified a pumper. Self proclaimed realists say were going to be embarrassed.

2

Sep 18, 2023, 6:50 PM

Too close to call, but I'm calling Clemson and the field goal kicker brought out of retirement wins the game with the clock running out. Later becomes a great movie when we go on to win natty this year.

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Re: Im classified a pumper. Self proclaimed realists say were going to be embarrassed.

1

Sep 18, 2023, 7:55 PM

We just don't need to make mistakes and we can play with anybody.

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Im typically labeled a pumper just not this year.

2

Sep 18, 2023, 8:30 PM

I have no faith we will win this game. I’ve learned anything can happen but I don’t see a defense or special teams that can win this.

Our QB is gaffe-prone. Our WRs are not deep threats. Our OL is not elite. Our kicker is a headcase.

I think our offense will look better than we did against Duke. But our D will be exposed for being poorly led.

Please Clemson, show me I’m lost. I want very badly to eat crow. I’ll have fun talking about how wrong I was.

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That attitude is punishment enough.***

1

Sep 19, 2023, 3:44 AM



2025 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpgringofhonor-clemsontiger1988-110.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Somehow it works. I'm a much happier Clemson fan now. :)***


Sep 19, 2023, 1:02 PM



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Mistakes aside, were 20th on offense, 8th on defense, 9th in fewest penalties, and

2

Sep 19, 2023, 3:13 PM [ in reply to Im typically labeled a pumper just not this year. ]

13th in SOS.

Al that adds up to - not as bad as some people are making it out to be. Yea, there have been some mistakes, yet we’re still doing well statistically.

The Duke game was a fluke. Some bad turnovers. It’s not nearly as bad as you wrote up there.

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I'm All In but actually the spread is determined by how...

1

Sep 19, 2023, 3:43 AM

the money is wagered. Clemson was given a lot of points a couple weeks ago and a lot of money when down on Clemson covering the spread. When that side of the betting got heavy the spread changed.

The odds maker's goal is to have the money sitting evenly on each side so that it's break even for the bookies and their profits come for taking a small percentage of the bets.

I wouldn't bet against Clemson. All the preseason hype that FSU has arrived is pure speculation. ESPiN was looking to hype up a D1 game for opening the season. LSU and FSU just happened to be scheduled which was the obvious pick. SEC vs ACC, two southern teams which have won NC in recent memory.

There's a good chance neither of those two teams will be in the top 15 at the end of the season.

ESPiN is pushing the portal too and only because it's something to talk about and another excuse for pumping the SEC and national favorites upward in the polls.

I watch only games which I've recorded and always mute the TV and FF through the commercials, breaks and halftime. ESPiN is the SEC's marketing agent.

2025 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpgringofhonor-clemsontiger1988-110.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Line came out at 2.5. That still fits the OP.***

1

Sep 19, 2023, 3:15 PM



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