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Yikes...July PPI up 0.9% YOY...

General Boards - Politics

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flow0440®

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Yikes...July PPI up 0.9% YOY...

Aug 14, 2025, 9:19 AM

estimates were expecting 0.2% overall. Core PPI was +0.6%.

Those are big numbers and the most since 2022.

This is exactly what I've been warning about from the tariffs and how they haven't all made it to consumer goods yet, but it's definitely being seen in the B2B and sub-supply side.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/14/ppi-inflation-report-july-2025-.html

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-shock-core-producer-prices-hit-3-year-high-in-july-in-head-scratching-inflation-surge-123743239.html

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19B®

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This is a pretty easy fix though.

Aug 14, 2025, 9:24 AM

You just have to fire whoever published those numbers, and hire somebody who will publish more favorable numbers.

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flow0440®

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Also from the BLS, so it's already been addressed!***

Aug 14, 2025, 9:42 AM

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joeyb®

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I'm more surprised that the estimate was only 0.2% than the actual 0.9%

Aug 14, 2025, 9:29 AM

Increasing the cost of goods coming into the US was going to have to "hit" sometime...

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flow0440®

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agreed, not sure what that was***

Aug 14, 2025, 9:44 AM

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geech72®

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That's a seasonally adjusted number; the gross 12 month estimate was 2.7%***

Aug 14, 2025, 10:47 AM [ in reply to I'm more surprised that the estimate was only 0.2% than the actual 0.9% ]

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BirminghamTiger®

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Re: I'm more surprised that the estimate was only 0.2% than the actual 0.9%

Aug 14, 2025, 11:38 AM [ in reply to I'm more surprised that the estimate was only 0.2% than the actual 0.9% ]

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MSYNAN®

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Pave Patthews Iand?

Aug 14, 2025, 9:44 AM

Sorry. Don't know what PPI is

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CubMD

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Re: Pave Patthews Iand?

Aug 14, 2025, 9:53 AM

proton pump inhibitor, like prilosec or prevacid

hope that helps

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MSYNAN®

Orange Phenom [14425]

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Makes sense now

Aug 14, 2025, 9:55 AM

The pump I've been using hasn't given me near the length nor girth I had hoped for

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Chuckston T-Man®

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With markets pricing in 100% odds of a September rate cut & 10% odds of 50 basis

Aug 14, 2025, 11:34 AM

points, it suggests that the markets are in for a bit of a shock when it doesn't happen at all.

As the article mentions, economists are saying that the majority of the costs of the tariffs are not being passed on to consumers, but that will grow over the next 2 months and beyond. Goldman Sachs estimates that roughly 22% of the costs have been born by consumers, but that will grow to 67% by October and more beyond that point.

The markets are whistling past the graveyard.

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BirminghamTiger®

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Re: Yikes...July PPI up 0.9% YOY...

Aug 14, 2025, 11:36 AM

Still laughing about this idea that inflation is right where we want it so Powell is too late. Unemployment was just fine this morning too.

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LesterWagner

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Re: Yikes...July PPI up 0.9% YOY...

Aug 14, 2025, 11:39 AM

Also, if it is the best economy ever, or however Trump is framing it, why does he need lower interest rates to stimulate it? He sounds like he thinks the economy needs some help coming up.

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