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YOUR BALANCE
Bears repeating each year. Take a look at the initial CFP
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Bears repeating each year. Take a look at the initial CFP


Nov 1, 2022, 11:34 AM

rankings, with how many of those actually wound up making it each year.

2014 Initial: Miss. State, Florida State, Auburn, Ole Miss
Florida State made it.

2015 Initial: Clemson, LSU, Ohio State, Alabama
Clemson and Alabama made it.

2016 Initial: Alabama, Clemson, Michigan, Texas A&M
Alabama and Clemson made it.

2017 Initial: Georgia, Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson
Georgia, Alabama, and Clemson made it.

2018 Initial: Alabama, Clemson, LSU, Notre Dame
Alabama, Clemson, and Notre Dame made it.

2019 Initial: Ohio State, LSU, Alabama, Penn State
Ohio State and LSU made it.

2020 Initial: Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson, Ohio State
All four made it, in different order.

2021 Initial: Georgia, Alabama, Michigan State, Oregon
Georgia and Alabama made it.

So, of 32 possibilities in the initial rankings, only 19 made the final rankings, or 59.375%. Now, the CFP Committee HAS gotten better in recent years, or the teams have separated themselves, as in the last FOUR years, 11 of 16, or 68.75%, have made it into the Final Four.


Message was edited by: 76er®


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Re: Bears repeating each year. Take a look at the initial CFP


Nov 1, 2022, 11:37 AM

FSU made it in 2014, got defeated by Oregon in the semis. I agree though the committee has gotten a lot better.

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Thank You, I have corrected the error.


Nov 1, 2022, 11:42 AM

Eyesight, among other things, ain't what it used to be!

:(

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Re: Bears repeating each year. Take a look at the initial CFP


Nov 1, 2022, 11:43 AM [ in reply to Re: Bears repeating each year. Take a look at the initial CFP ]

So going back to creation, 41% of CFP participants were not in the first rankings. Hmmm.




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Re: Bears repeating each year. Take a look at the initial CFP


Nov 1, 2022, 12:10 PM

No that's not what this says. Almost all of them were in the rankings, they just weren't in the initial top 4.

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Re: Bears repeating each year. Take a look at the initial CFP


Nov 1, 2022, 11:38 AM

FSU made it in 2014.. they lost to Oregon in the Semis

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WWIN, buzzword for win and we're in.


Nov 1, 2022, 11:40 AM

No doubt.

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Elon is absolutely my very favorite multi-billionaire!


Nov 1, 2022, 11:45 AM

Of all the multi-billionaires, I like him best ...

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Oops, wrong thread ... but anyway, it’s true, so true.haha***


Nov 1, 2022, 11:46 AM



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LOL...Had me for a second.***


Nov 1, 2022, 1:09 PM



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Re: Bears repeating each year. Take a look at the initial CFP


Nov 1, 2022, 11:52 AM

While interesting, and encouraging to Clemson (I think)...this is not surprising. The CFP rankings can only account for past performance. Given that they come out 3/4 the way through the season, you are of course going to have a different group at the end of the season. Another way of saying it - they are not "predicting" who will make it, but rather who would make it at this point in time. Very different.

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Re: Bears repeating each year. Take a look at the initial CFP


Nov 1, 2022, 3:30 PM

Good stuff. Bear in mind that 2020 was much more of a beauty contest as some teams made the playoffs with only playing half their schedule

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