Tiger Board Logo

Donor's Den General Leaderboards TNET coins™ POTD Hall of Fame Map FAQ
GIVE AN AWARD
Use your TNET coins™ to grant this post a special award!

W
50
Big Brain
90
Love it!
100
Cheers
100
Helpful
100
Made Me Smile
100
Great Idea!
150
Mind Blown
150
Caring
200
Flammable
200
Hear ye, hear ye
200
Bravo
250
Nom Nom Nom
250
Take My Coins
500
Ooo, Shiny!
700
Treasured Post!
1000

YOUR BALANCE
Predicting QB busts
Tiger Boards - Clemson Football
add New Topic
Replies: 7
| visibility 1454

Predicting QB busts

1

May 14, 2024, 1:52 PM
Reply

I read an article today that alleged a QB's boom/bust rate could be predicted by looking at two stats with 95% confidence.
1. A sack rate of 8.9% or below.
If they pass that test
2. Average completion yards of 6.5% or above

If the QB missed #1 but passed #2 it would not predict a bust.

If the QB missed only #1 it would predict a 95% chance of a bust.

If the QB passed #1 and failed #2 it would also indicate a bust

If the qQB failed both it would pedict a bust. Meaning you had a QB that could not scramble and was not capable of reading the field or accurate enough to complete downfield passes.

I am not so sure because last year it seemed like the scheme would not allow Cade to pass downfield so IMO he would have been limited in average yards by the dink and dunk pass play calling since they are considered high percentage plays most of the time and the coaches knew the OL was weak.

Thoughts? What stats do you think matter most? I typically look at TD's to Int. Another I might look at it would be completion rate in the redzone.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Predicting QB busts

2

May 14, 2024, 8:41 PM
Reply

Before we place Cade on a bust list, let's at least give him a season with a couple to 3 healthy receivers and just a little better improved Matt Luke O line. If he does a terrible job, I'll vote with whoever we need another QB, just sayin!!!

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Predicting QB busts

1

May 14, 2024, 8:45 PM
Reply

Completion rate of "6.5% " of what?

2024 orange level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Predicting QB busts


May 14, 2024, 10:46 PM
Reply

I think he meant at least 6.5 yards/completion.

2024 purple level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Predicting QB busts


May 15, 2024, 11:12 AM [ in reply to Re: Predicting QB busts ]
Reply

yeah, sorry. Average completion yards of above 6.5.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Predicting QB busts


May 15, 2024, 11:55 AM [ in reply to Re: Predicting QB busts ]
Reply

All of Clemson's receiver were injured last. From Randall to Collins to others, you name it. Collins was just as much a bust as DJU, and Randall was as injury prone as Joel Embiid. Perhaps Wesco will break out and have a great season, as well as Luke's revamped OL.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Predicting QB busts

1

May 15, 2024, 11:56 AM [ in reply to Re: Predicting QB busts ]
Reply

I agree. Cade needs a "wake-me -up" season.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Predicting QB busts

1

May 15, 2024, 12:00 PM [ in reply to Re: Predicting QB busts ]
Reply

The greatest need is to replace the "glass body' receivers. Durability counts. Spector can't catch a cold in traffic. Where have you gone, Hunter Renfrow?

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Replies: 7
| visibility 1454
Tiger Boards - Clemson Football
add New Topic