Disclaimer - If we turn the ball over or have to try too many field goals, the following may not matter.
UNC will be the best offense we've faced this year.
They are #3 at 521 YPG We are ranked 48th at 408 YPG
Our D is the best they will have seen by far.
Comparing our D to the average of the teams they have played:
Clemson Total D - #6/272 YPG Rushing D - #19/109 YPG Passing D - #7/163 YPG
UNC Opponents Total D - #75/386 YPG Rushing D - #78/159 YPG Passing D - #68/227 YPG
We have only been outgained twice this year. Miami held a 17 yard advantage and ND outgained us by 44 yards.
We have held every opponent except Duke (+29 yards) below their total offense average. We have held all ten opponents to an average of 74% of their total yards per game.
Based on this, I predict we'll hold UNC to under 400 yards.
UNC defensive ranks are
Total D - #80/390 Rushing D - #77/154 Passing D - #83/236
If our offense continues to improve and avoids catastrophic mistakes, I think we'll pull it out.