By 20.36 points per game in our last eleven (all Tiger wins) against them. Why should this year be different, if at all?
Well, our previous two games with them were much closer than your 20 points per game average is one reason (one game against a top notch Tiger team, & one against last year's struggling Tigers). Also, both of the previous two games were played in DV--this year we're playing them at their home in "cool" weather. They also have have a more experienced team with a quality QB. I'm optimistic about our chances for a win, but I still don't believe our Defense is playing anywhere near their capabilities/potential--that concerns me deeply.
I hope we can beat them by the 20 point spread, but wouldn't be surprised if it's a much closer score. I believe we're improving each week, but we're not playing at CFB Playoff levels by any means! And, the last few games have been much closer than I want them--primarily, because we're not putting the game away by the 4th Qtr, so we can start giving our reserves the experience they need. I fear next year when so many of our team, particularly our talented two-deep Defensive front is no longer with us. Also, DJ and a couple of our dependable OL members will be gone as well. We need to be giving our reserves much more opportunities & experience for next year than we are at this stage!
That's why this year is different--to answer your closing question! Just MHO.