Playoff Simulation predicts Alabama over Clemson in title matchup
|2015-11-19 11:10:08.0- -||
PredictionMachine.com has crunched the data for 50,000 computer simulations of the most likely teams in the four-team college football playoff (Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State and Notre Dame).
The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and efficiency-adjusted team and player statistics, to play every game 50,000 times before it's played.
"If Clemson wins out, the Tigers are in," USA TODAY said. "However, that task has gotten more difficult for Dabo Swinney's team. Clemson's odds of having a perfect record through the ACC title game have decreased from 63.5% last week to 55.8%. The Tigers' playoff probability has also declined from 67.0% to 61.3%."
In the playoff semifinals, the simulation has Clemson (#1 seed) facing off against Notre Dame (#4 seed) and has Clemson winning 63.5% of the time by an average score of 34-30.
Alabama (#2 seed) wins 53.0% of the time against Ohio State (#3 seed) with an average score of 26-25 in the other projected playoff semifinal.
Clemson vs. Alabama matchup in the college football championship projection and Alabama wins 53.0% of the time against the Tigers by an average score of 26-25 according to the simulations.
The probabilities for each team to win the championship according to the simulation analysis is Clemson (28.5%), Alabama (33.0%), Ohio State (25.6%) and Notre Dame (12.9%).
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