FSU losing made the Clem/UofL game the Division Championship. I don't think either of us could lose 2. So even if we lose to FSU respectably, we still make the championship game with a high ranking. The overall strength of the ACC is increasing, especially at the top. So we likely would play a fairly highly ranked Coastal opponent. I think our schedule gives us the credibility to get there with 1 loss (assuming not the championship).
Bama is almost a lock, but they've got some meat on the bone. Plus their championship game is likely to be a rematch with Tenn.