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All-Conference [449]
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What are the chances Florida State loses 2 ACC games?
Oct 21, 2014, 9:54 AM
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Seminoles are a good team but not even close to the dominant team they were last year. I don't think there's a great chance FSU loses twice, but I'm starting to see it as a possibility. Their remaining ACC schedule is:
1. @ Louisville
2. Virginia
3. @ Miami
4. Boston College
I think the most obvious team that could beat them is Louisville on a Thursday night. In fact I believe Louisville will win the game. If that were to happen, is it possible that Crab Legs Rapist reacts immaturely to his first ever college loss and mails it in for a few weeks? Both Virginia and BC have pretty good defenses, but those games are in Tally. FSU faces Miami on the road, but the Hurricanes aren't very good. I think it would take a bit of a meltdown by Florida State in 1 of those final 3 games, but if they lose to Louisville next Thursday, it could get the ball rolling.
What are your thoughts/predictions on Florida State's final 4 ACC games?
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Legend [16629]
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Honestly,
Oct 21, 2014, 9:56 AM
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I think FSU will blow through those teams and won't even stop to wave goodbye.
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Hall of Famer [22718]
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Re: they sounds like real azzholes***
Oct 21, 2014, 9:58 AM
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All-Conference [449]
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Very possible.
Oct 21, 2014, 9:59 AM
[ in reply to Honestly, ] |
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They haven't played up to their potential so far this season by a long shot.
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Legend [17751]
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Re: Honestly,
Oct 21, 2014, 10:00 AM
[ in reply to Honestly, ] |
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Agreed. They will leave carnage in their wake.
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Oculus Spirit [75671]
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FSU loses two ACC games but Clemson
Oct 21, 2014, 9:57 AM
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will lose to the worst team left on the schedule. Just how it works.
Message was edited by: aerozeptallica®
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All-Conference [449]
TigerPulse: 91%
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Who?
Oct 21, 2014, 10:00 AM
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Wake?
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Oculus Spirit [75671]
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Possibly.***
Oct 21, 2014, 10:02 AM
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Hall of Famer [22718]
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Re: Can't wait to watch it live with you***
Oct 21, 2014, 10:05 AM
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Oculus Spirit [75671]
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Me neither. I keep forgetting it is 3 Saturdays away.***
Oct 21, 2014, 10:13 AM
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Letterman [283]
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Re: FSU you loses two ACC games but Clemson
Oct 21, 2014, 10:01 AM
[ in reply to FSU loses two ACC games but Clemson ] |
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You in the whiskey again. I thought we talked about that!!! 
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Letterman [283]
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Re: What are the chances Florida State loses 2 ACC games?
Oct 21, 2014, 9:59 AM
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Slim chance they will loose. Maybe Louisville. However if they loose one, I'll be pulling for another lose. That being said, the Tigers need to keep their heads in the game and keep winning.
Go Tigers
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All-Conference [449]
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Agreed!
Oct 21, 2014, 10:01 AM
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Tigers have to do what is in their control. Win out!
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Member [28]
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Re: What are the chances Florida State loses 2 ACC games?
Oct 21, 2014, 10:06 AM
[ in reply to Re: What are the chances Florida State loses 2 ACC games? ] |
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There is a strong chance that they lose to Louisville and Boston College but it's slim. I think Cole can keep this thing going and get a little better in the next coming weeks. wake Forest will be very easy for Clemson due to the fact they have no O line and a true freshman or sophmore QB which ever one starts.
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All-In [26968]
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I'll assign win probabilities to the individual games:
Oct 21, 2014, 10:02 AM
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@ Louisville: 85%
Virginia: 95%
@ Miami: 90%
Boston College: 95%
So the chances of them going:
4-0: 69%
3-1: 27%
1-3: 4%
0-4: 0%
So, 4% chance FSU loses 2 or more.
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Legend [16120]
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What are those percentages based on?***
Oct 21, 2014, 10:03 AM
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All-In [26968]
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My opinion.***
Oct 21, 2014, 10:04 AM
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Hall of Famer [22718]
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Re: My opinion.***
Oct 21, 2014, 10:05 AM
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All-Conference [449]
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CU Guru [1949]
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ESPN's probably a bit better at predicting:
Oct 21, 2014, 10:22 AM
[ in reply to I'll assign win probabilities to the individual games: ] |
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Also you completely left out the odds of them going 2-2, which makes it seem like you did your math wrong...
http://espn.go.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=52&year=2014
They have:
@ Louisville: 76.2%
vs Virginia: 88.2%
@ Miami: 75.4%
vs Boston College: 91.9%
So with those %'s in mind, FSU would have the following predicted probability of each record
4-0: 46.6%
3-1: 40.1%
2-2: 11.9%
1-3: 1.4%
0-4: 0.1%
So, the more accurate prediction is there's around a 13.3% chance FSU loses 2 or more.
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All-In [26968]
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LOL...yeah, I mucked that one up.
Oct 21, 2014, 10:27 AM
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Totally skipped a line in my calculations. Thanks.
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All-In [26968]
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On second thought, based on my numbers, the 4% is still
Oct 21, 2014, 10:28 AM
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correct. But the 1-3 would be close to 0%, and a 2-2 mark would be right around 4%. The numbers next to 4-0 and 3-1 are right. Again, based on the win probabilities I assigned.
Anyways, thanks for the correction.
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CU Medallion [64517]
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I think there are exactly two (2) chances....
Oct 21, 2014, 10:02 AM
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slim and none.
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Aficionado [184]
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Re: I think there are exactly two (2) chances....
Oct 21, 2014, 11:06 AM
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Didn't Slim just leave for Texas?
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All-TigerNet [13359]
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More likely to foreit past games than lose 2.***
Oct 21, 2014, 10:04 AM
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CU Medallion [64517]
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FSU will not be foreitting any games this year.....
Oct 21, 2014, 10:10 AM
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In the unlikely event FSU is forced to vacate any win from the 2014 season, that will not be decided until well after the season has concluded and by then it really won't matter much anyway.
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All-TigerNet [13359]
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Agreed, just think that's more likely
Oct 21, 2014, 10:20 AM
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Than them losing 2.
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Walk-On [113]
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Re: What are the chances Florida State loses 2 ACC games?
Oct 21, 2014, 10:04 AM
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Theres a chance for FSU to drop one a Louisville, but im gonna stick with the noles going undefeated. I just dont see any of the remaining team beating those guys. Best case scenario they go undefeated and put them back at #1 just in time for CFP. I dont want them to lose one they need to lose two for the tigers to even think about an orange bowl bid.
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110%er [6851]
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slim to none!
Oct 21, 2014, 10:07 AM
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n/m
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All-TigerNet [11161]
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No way the league jeopardizes a playoff spot. FSU rolls.
Oct 21, 2014, 10:08 AM
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If the refs need to get involved, they will.
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CU Medallion [64517]
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Are you actually implying....
Oct 21, 2014, 10:15 AM
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ACC officials exerpt some bias and call a game in such a way so as to influence its outcome?
You're d@mn right they would !!!!
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All-TigerNet [11161]
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I'm not implying it, I'm flat out saying they'll do it.***
Oct 21, 2014, 10:21 AM
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Orange Blooded [4302]
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CU Medallion [64517]
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It wouldn't be a problem unless....
Oct 21, 2014, 10:26 AM
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UNC needed a win for bowl eligibility.
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Oculus Spirit [93604]
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Snowball in helll.***
Oct 21, 2014, 10:25 AM
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