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Topic: The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)
Replies: 18   Last Post: Oct 8, 2019 6:54 AM by: Neal in NC®
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The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)

[24]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 7:09 AM
 

My weekly public service to anybody out there who believes there will be more than 4 undefeated teams at the end of the year vying for a place in the College Football Playoffs. It won’t happen, despite each year around this time people beginning to wonder as undefeated teams blow out their competition.

The inevitable will happen….it’s called “the thinning of the herd”

Recap Of Last Week
Heading into October 5th, we only had 14 teams in Power 5 that were undefeated. The week did not project to cause much drama, and that played out as thought. The SEC began its yearly “eat your own tour” with Florida thumping the “greatest defense in the history of mankind” Auburn Tigers. I had Iowa on “upset alert” to lose their 0 in Ann Arbor, and that is exactly what happened.

So the Herd dropped from 14 to 12…and we are just getting started in October.

Next week has the potential to turn things upside down…with no gimmies for those that play and plenty of upset alerts. The Herd will be down to single digits after next week….just you wait.

Weekend of October 12th “Thinning Of The Herd”

Guaranteed Thinning Will Take Place
Florida at LSU…the SEC “eating their own tour" continues in Baton Rouge

"Upset Alert”
Texas Tech @ Baylor…TTU can move the football and score some points, and does anybody really think Baylor is a good football team???

Louisville @ Wake Forest…The Cardinals have been a pleasant surprise and Wake is not good enough to not play well each week if they are going to win. Wake holds permanent spot on upset alert.

Oklahoma vs. Texas…The Red River Rivalry is always a fun game to watch. A lot on the line…and it’s the Sooners first real test.

Penn State @ Iowa…The Nittany Lions have been one of the most impressive teams in the nation, but this is the kind of game the Hawkeyes earn their title as herd slayers.

Alabama at Texas A&M…For some odd reason I think Bama will have to work hard to get out of College Station. Call me crazy

Will Keep Winning....For Now
Florida State @ Clemson…The Noles have looked better recently and Clemson looked wonky in Chapel Hill. Both teams had a bye week, but at home with a week off to stew, Clemson will be ready on Saturday.

Michigan State @ Wisconsin…I almost slid this game into the upset alert category, but the Spartans are just brutal to watch on offense and the Badgers running game is just too good.

Nebraska vs. Minnesota…Again, this is a game that could be in the upset alert category but I put it in the win category. I’m not really sure what to make of Minnesota yet, but I know what Nebraska is.

South Carolina @ Georgia…The Gamecocks looked better vs. Kentucky and overall a better football team with RH at QB. But we saw what happened when Alabama met Scar…and UGA will do the same.

Ohio State has a bye week.

"The Road To A Repeat Begins With The Tiger Pregame Show"

2019 orange level member

Good analysis.

[4]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 7:39 AM
 

I agree with your analysis of each game (except Bama, I can't see aTm testing them, but I am, wrong so often I could be wrong about this, too).

Here is what I am certain of. There will be a maximum of 4 unbeaten teams in the Power 5 conferences. No conference will have two unbeatens. (PAC 12 is already out of that possibility.)

So, there are 3 rules for making the playoffs.

1. Win em all and you're in.
2. Lose 1 and you need help.
3. Lose 2 and you're out.

The herd will continue to be thinned every week. (I thought Auburn would beat UF by 20. I was wrong. But, I still am not a believer in UF. Their offense stinks. I think LSU and UGA will both beat them by 20.)

And, as for Saturday, FSU is showing signs of improvement. I am reading that Clemson is a 24 1/2 point favorite. If I were forced to bet on this game, I'd take Clemson and give the points. We may be better, but we are a long way from being ready for prime time.


Good stuff. Thanks for sharing.


Posted: Oct 6, 2019 8:26 AM
 

nm

2019 orange level member

Re: Good analysis.


Posted: Oct 6, 2019 7:50 PM
 

They might let a big bad two kids sec team in

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We do Chicken right...it's not just for frying anymore!


Re: Good analysis.


Posted: Oct 6, 2019 7:52 PM
 

They might let a big bad two loss sec team in

2019 orange level memberbadge-donor-10yr.jpg

We do Chicken right...it's not just for frying anymore!


Why is it this time of year people talk about 4 unbeaten


Posted: Oct 8, 2019 6:54 AM
 

teams when it has never happened. Three last year and maybe once during the bcs error there might have been three going into the last game, but that is it.

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Re: The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)

[2]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 8:29 AM
 

I was amazed how bad Iowa is offensively. Just a nonstop mistake fest.

badge-donor-05yr.jpg

Re: The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)

[2]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 8:29 AM
 

If the Coots had any semblance of a D-1 defense they could stay within 3 scores of teams like Bama and UGA .
They don't and they won't .
Georgia 47-13

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DB23


Re: The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)

[3]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 9:35 AM
 

Strange that a team with a Defensive "Savant" as head coach struggles on that side of the ball.

Two words for Muschamp's defensive prowess: Over Rated......


Re: The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)

[1]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 9:43 AM
 

Need more posts like this. Good stuff.

2019 orange level member

Thank you sir!

[1]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 10:04 AM
 

nm

2019 orange level member

Thanks for the info. I bet that took a lot of

[2]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 12:00 PM
 

time.


Re: The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)


Posted: Oct 6, 2019 1:06 PM
 

" I had Iowa on “upset alert” to lose their 0 in Ann Arbor, and that is exactly what happened. "

Not sure about that since Vegas had Iowa as a 3-point Dawg, even though the polls had them ranked 14 vs UM's 19. That said, I think Iowa had a bout 4 TO's that cost them the game, otherwise they stomp a hole in UM.


You think way more of Iowa than I do!


Posted: Oct 6, 2019 3:51 PM
 

Nm

2019 orange level member

Re: The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)

[1]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 1:15 PM
 

i agree with you, but let's keep wake undefeated until they meet us. and let's keep virginia undefeated until they meet us in the championship game.


Re: The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)

[3]
Posted: Oct 6, 2019 5:17 PM
 

Nice post. Here's my two cents.

LSU over Florida (thinning). I don't think Florida is good enough to win this game on the road.

Wake over Louisville. Wake has a better body of work IMO, and they are at home.

Texas over Oklahoma (thinning). Texas has a better body of work IMO, and they are at home.

Penn State over Iowa. Iowa has done nothing so far.

Bama over A&M. No confidence in A&M/Jimbo. A&M will likely make more mistakes, and Bama will take advantage.

Wisconsin over Michigan State. Just going with my gut.

Georgia over the chickens. We all know it.

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Hard to argue that thought


Posted: Oct 6, 2019 7:38 PM
 

nm

2019 orange level member

Re: The "Thinning Of The Herd" Oct 12th Edition (Drama Coming)


Posted: Oct 7, 2019 10:25 AM
 

agree on ALL points


Well done***


Posted: Oct 6, 2019 8:01 PM
 



2019 purple level member

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