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CU Guru [1903]
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55 per cent chance of us finishing the regular season
Nov 12, 2015, 3:50 PM
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undefeated per ESPN. I assume that means going 12-0 (not 13-0). That seems too low, but I guess it's like Dabo says, "winning is hard".
Injuries are the only thing I see slowing us down the next two weeks. We'd have to really screw up on special teams and turnovers to lose to USC. I'd feel better about games 13-15 if we had someone that could kick it to the back of the endzone every kickoff.
OSU has the second best shot of all other remaining undefeated teams at 32%.
Iowa and OK St. are both given an 11% chance.
http://espn.go.com/college-football/team/_/id/228
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110%er [5249]
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It's about the same as 80% chance to win each game***
Nov 12, 2015, 3:50 PM
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All-In [38427]
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Re: It's about the same as 80% chance to win each game***
Nov 12, 2015, 3:53 PM
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Percentages .
I am 100% tired of percentages .
Sorry , Coach Howard ...110% tired of them .
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All-In [38427]
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Steffi Graph was HAWT ?
Nov 12, 2015, 4:16 PM
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Rock Defender [53]
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Re: Steffi Graph was HAWT ?
Nov 12, 2015, 6:18 PM
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I actually worked with a guy that thought Graf was "hawt". He was from India.
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CU Guru [1903]
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CU Guru [1904]
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Those are just numbers, nobody can predict college football*****
Nov 12, 2015, 3:53 PM
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Commissioner [998]
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Re: 55 per cent chance of us finishing the regular season
Nov 12, 2015, 3:56 PM
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Yup that's the fun with statistics and why it's so hard to go undefeated.
Even if we had a 80% chance to win each game and played 12, the chance to go 12-0 is .8^12 or 7% chance of going 12-0.
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All-TigerNet [10427]
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That 54.8% includes the conference championship...
Nov 12, 2015, 4:04 PM
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Because they also project a 12.5 - 0.5 W/L record.
We have a 71.2% chance of winning against an arbitrary ACC Coastal champion.
Syr WF SC ???
0.928 * 0.975 * 0.85 * 0.712 = 0.548
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CU Guru [1903]
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That makes more sense, as I calculated much higher. LOL @
Nov 12, 2015, 4:28 PM
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trying to come up w/ a win pct. vs a mythical opponent. I imagine if Miami was a rematch the win pct would jump quite a bit. I'm not sure who other than UNC has much of a chance at this point with their head to head wins over all their opponents.
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Hall of Famer [24767]
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I noticed they didn't bother to give Bama's chances...???***
Nov 12, 2015, 4:55 PM
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Orange Blooded [3405]
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Re: I noticed they didn't bother to give Bama's chances...???***
Nov 12, 2015, 5:42 PM
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Well Bama can't finish undefeated.
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Oculus Spirit [93668]
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Bama is going to face two of the four offenses in that...
Nov 12, 2015, 6:23 PM
[ in reply to I noticed they didn't bother to give Bama's chances...???*** ] |
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conference that doesn't play Bama's game. They aren't limited to running between the tackles.
I enjoyed one segment of CFL today. They talked about undefeated teams and their confidence that those teams would finish the season undefeated. They didn't mention one single SEC team during the entire segment. 
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All-TigerNet [13038]
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55% includes ACCCG. Last I checked cuse and wake were
Nov 12, 2015, 6:20 PM
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97-98% range, usuc was 85-86% and ACCCG was like 71%.
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50
