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Playoff scenario question
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Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 6:49 AM

Assuming these teams go undefeated ... who would you think gets left out?
Bama
OSU/Michigan
Clemson
Washington
Baylor/West Virginia
Boise State

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Baylor and Boise


Oct 17, 2016, 7:00 AM

Sorry OOC and lack of CG kill Big XII hopes unless one or more of the other Power 5 champs has 2.losses. Same goes for Boise, plus they started the polls too far from the top.

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^^This!^^


Oct 17, 2016, 7:52 AM

On Baylor especially, I think the Committee would resend the message that Baylor obviously did not take seriously last year, which is, SCHEDULE SOME REAL GAMES OUT OF CONFERENCE OR YOU WILL NOT BE CONSIDERED.

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Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 7:29 AM

Big12 gets left out. Would be Us, Bama, OSU/Mich winner and Washington

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Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 7:52 AM

Well if they go off of style points as said a number of times last year by to PO committee....Keep playing ugly football and our beloved TIGERS could find their self on the outside looking in. That's fact!

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Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 9:04 AM

Style points went away with the BCS. It is continued by the talking heads to justify their rankings of SEC teams that haven't played any OOC competition. Playoffs are decided by conference championships, win loss record, head to head competition without point differential and strength of competition.

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Just like the 2014 FSU team who was the ugliest undefeated


Oct 17, 2016, 9:50 AM [ in reply to Re: Playoff scenario question ]

team in the history of football was left on the outside looking in??

Oh wait...

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Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 7:54 AM

uh baylor and boise

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Boise st would be the first out. Then my


Oct 17, 2016, 7:59 AM

Guess is it would be Baylor out. But doubtful all those are undefeated. I think Baylor will lose and if rest undefeated then no one but Boise st will care if they're left out. I don't care whether we think people hate us or not a 13-0 acc team who lost one game by 5 pts to the nc last year and wins acc champ, beat Louisville, fsu, auburn does not get left out.

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Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 9:05 AM

Big 12
Boise State

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"I've played multiple sports and would bet any amount that I'm still more athletic than you at this present time...."


Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 9:13 AM

No way all those teams go unbeaten.

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"Smelley, Garcia, and Beecher are going to lead you to 4-8." - york_tiger


Bottom line....We want Mich to knock out OSU...


Oct 17, 2016, 9:26 AM

and any scenario where we play Michigan or Washington in the opening round.

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Big 12 and Boise without a doubt.


Oct 17, 2016, 9:26 AM

However, i believe 2004 is the last time there were even THREE undefeated major conference teams let alone 5 (plus Boise).

These are the current odds that S&P+ gives those teams of going 12-0. Conference title games are not factored in so the odds of the non-Big XII teams going 13-0 are even lower.

Bama 36%
OSU 19%
Michigan 51% (it gives Michigan a 61% chance to beat OSU)
Clemson 49%
Washington 24%
Baylor 4%
WVU 3%
Boise 29%

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Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 9:26 AM

Unless two Power 5 champions are really really really bad, the chance of Boise State getting in is not any higher than that of Louisville. In short, they're out!

Just like many have already said it, Big 12 champion is on the out looking in. They'll need to go undefeated and hope champions from the other 4 conferences will lose some. I kinda think, if they go undefeated, they'll be in.

That said, I don't think we'll have 4+ undefeated teams from Power 5. It's never happened before in the history of college football. (4+ undefeated teams from major conferences.)

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Agree, and I think that is what the CFP looked at when


Oct 17, 2016, 9:45 AM

setting the number of teams. All 5 "Power Conferences" having an undefeated Champion would be their doomsday scenario, and if it ever happens, the fallout from who got left out is when you would finally (and probably not before then) see an expansion of the playoffs.

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Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 10:04 AM

I see it ended like this:

1 bama
2 mich
3 CLEMSON
4WU

unless texas am beats mama!

1 mich
2 CLEMSON
3 texas am
4 WU

Of course if we have turnovers continue we will not be there!

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Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 10:07 AM

If AM beataking bama by a miracle we WILL win the NC this year. Bama is the only team I think that we cant beat

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Re: Playoff scenario question


Oct 17, 2016, 10:08 AM

Beat*...#### autocorrect

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