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All-TigerNet [12942]
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Ok... so we are 9-7 overall and 3-3 in the ACC
Jan 15, 2020, 10:48 AM
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if we go 8-4 the rest of the way... that is 17-11 overall and 11-7 in the ACC. It would also mean we finished the season 11-4 in final 15.
Will that send us dancing?
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Heisman Winner [105574]
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17-11 will not send us dancing
Jan 15, 2020, 10:50 AM
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However, I say that with the caveat that this has been a really weird season so far across all D1 basketball.
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CU Medallion [64977]
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Not unless we're on top of a Fire Ant nest.
Jan 15, 2020, 10:50 AM
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CU Medallion [64517]
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No...
Jan 15, 2020, 10:55 AM
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but it would put Clemson in the solidly in NIT field which would be a noteworthy accomplishment compared to how most people, including me, thought this team would perform.
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Hall of Famer [23994]
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Clemson was 9-0 in the ACC HTH***
Jan 15, 2020, 10:58 AM
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Heisman Winner [133683]
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are you saying this is on the wrong board?***
Jan 15, 2020, 11:10 AM
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CU Medallion [56717]
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Wait until baseball season. It’s like they don’t realize
Jan 15, 2020, 11:19 AM
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they have their own board.
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110%er [5576]
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Re: Ok... so we are 9-7 overall and 3-3 in the ACC
Jan 15, 2020, 10:59 AM
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ACC schedule is 20 games now
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All-TigerNet [14451]
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Re: Ok... so we are 9-7 overall and 3-3 in the ACC
Jan 15, 2020, 11:13 AM
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COME ON SNOW AKA YORK TIGER. THOUGHT YOU ACTUALLY HAD SOME KNOWLEDGE.
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CU Guru [1849]
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Depends how we do in the ACC tourney ***
Jan 15, 2020, 11:21 AM
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110%er [7459]
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you are shorting the schedule by 2 games- 30 game sched
Jan 15, 2020, 4:07 PM
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20 ACC games
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110%er [7459]
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and we have already move up to 75 in NET with no Q4 losses
Jan 15, 2020, 4:10 PM
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so a 19-11 record or 18-12 with a tourney win would have us knocking on the door- finish along with discounting for the injuries at beginning of the season would probably have us in- couple wins at say NCSU, UVA VT, Pitt and any win vs Louisville, FSU would be huge for resume
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All-In [43992]
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No, because we will still have 2 ACC games left to play.
Jan 15, 2020, 4:13 PM
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Plus the ACC Tournament.
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Team Captain [453]
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Pretty much throw out the overall record and conf record
Jan 15, 2020, 5:14 PM
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All that varies from year to year and the NCAA does account for the unbalanced conf schedules so there is no more 20 win / 11 ACC win criteria. It matters who you beat and who you lose to.
Q1 wins mean a lot more than racking up wins vs Q3 & Q4. Losses to Q3&4 teams hurt more than losses to Q1 teams.
So where we sit right now is
Q1 1-3
Q2 3-2
Q3 1-2
Q4 4-0
9-7
What we have left per current NET rankings
Q1 (6 games)- NCSU(road), Louisville (road), UVa (road), Louisville, FSU, VT (road)
Q2 (3 games) - WF(road), Pitt(road), GT (road)
Q3 (5 games) - WF, Syracuse, Notre Dame, BC (road), GT
So what has to happen?
1 - Win ALL the Q3 games. That makes you 6-2 vs Q3. In reality you wouldn't want to be much worse than that vs Q3. This is where the early bad losses could hurt as you have to be perfect against the rest of these teams.
2 - Win 2 of the Q2 road games. That puts you at 5-3 vs Q2. In all reality winning all 3 are better because Q2 level competition represents the lower seeds in the tournament, but these are all road games so that would be a tall order.
3 - Win 3 or 4 of the Q1 games. Looking at the schedule I think you need NCSU, UVa for sure. Then either Louisville or FSU at home. I don't think VT and Louisville on the road are winnable games.
Assuming you get 3 of the 6 Q1 wins that leaves you at
Q1 4-7 - 5-6 would look a whole lot better but I just don't think its feasible
Q2 5-3 - Again 6-2 would be a lot better and going .500 vs Q1+Q2 would really help
Q3 6-2 - Makes the early bad losses sting a little less but ideally you can't take more than 2 Q3 losses.
Q4 4-0
Total 19-12. It's not crazy impossible if this team continues to improve, but you're going to have to get the 3 Q1 wins and 2 of those are road games. The other issue here is that NCSU and UVa could easily fall to Q2 wins if they continue losing games which would mean you'd really like to have both the Louisville and FSU home wins.
I wouldn't bet on it but it's not as crazy as I initially thought.
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