|
Replies: 7
| visibility 403
|
Orange Blooded [4365]
TigerPulse: 80%
Posts: 8370
Joined: 1/4/17
|
Fox is in a bit of a bind
Nov 5, 2020, 1:06 PM
|
|
Nevada is now callable, which means if Fox (which has already called Arizona) goes ahead and calls Nevada, then that will be 270 for Biden and Fox will be the first ones to deliver the bad news to Trump.
|
|
|
|
 |
All-In [46816]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 30720
Joined: 8/11/15
|
I'm watching NBC. They haven't even called Arizona yet***
Nov 5, 2020, 1:07 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
110%er [5669]
TigerPulse: 92%
Posts: 12143
Joined: 9/28/08
|
Re: Fox is in a bit of a bind
Nov 5, 2020, 1:08 PM
|
|
Yawn.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oculus Spirit [83625]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 63724
Joined: 12/31/06
|
you are correct...
Nov 5, 2020, 1:14 PM
|
|
I imagine that Arizona is probably right to be called. Historically, FOX has been the first to call states over the years, and they are usually correct. I'm hoping they are wrong, but if FOX calls a state, they are pretty confident.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Legend [17773]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 16662
Joined: 9/1/12
|
Re: you are correct...
Nov 5, 2020, 2:00 PM
|
|
Last evening/early afternoon - I was watching Brett and Martha asking questions of Fox's "Decision Desk head - Mishkin. Martha doing what she can to provide hope for Fox viewers like my father in law.
Below is a high level summary:
Martha: With Arizona yet to tabulate all results from X county, are you going to reverse your call on Arizona for now?
Mishkin: No.
Martha: Well, you made the call with 1% of the vote in last night.
Mishkin (a bit incredulous): Where did you get that 1% number? We called it at 11:25pm with 85% (maybe he said 75%). We called it knowing these factors. We are VERY confident in our call.
Martha: What about Wisconsin?
Mishkin: Nope
Martha: What about Michigan?
Mishkin: Nope
Then they brought a lawyer/professor on that pretty much said the legal challenges wont help.
Martha tried, bless her heart.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oculus Spirit [83625]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 63724
Joined: 12/31/06
|
the number-crunching nerds said they were within..
Nov 5, 2020, 2:17 PM
|
|
four standard deviations....which I think they said their chances of being wrong were like .0001%
|
|
|
|
|
|
All-In [34105]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 33608
Joined: 9/13/99
|
How do you know it's callable?***
Nov 5, 2020, 2:24 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Orange Blooded [4365]
TigerPulse: 80%
Posts: 8370
Joined: 1/4/17
|
Re: How do you know it's callable?***
Nov 5, 2020, 9:16 PM
|
|
The guys at 538 said that they thought that the numbers and the trends made a strong case for calling Nevada for Biden. That was this afternoon.
However, Arizona is expected to release some new numbers any minute now that might change that picture - or bring it into greater relief.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Replies: 7
| visibility 403
|
|
|
50
