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YOUR BALANCE
Our most realistic chance of playing in Atlanta is if
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Our most realistic chance of playing in Atlanta is if


Dec 1, 2019, 9:54 AM

uga beats LSU. Ohio state would move to number one and won't want to play a southeastern team in Atlanta. A long shot but it might happen.

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Re: Our most realistic chance of playing in Atlanta is if


Dec 1, 2019, 10:05 AM

Then we would end up playing Georgia in Atlanta! It shouldn't be Georgia - I have to say it. Even if they win the SEC and beat LSU. Sorry, they lost at home to an unranked, non-bowl eligible team, no.
But, I could see it happening!
LSU in your scenario would drop to 4 and move Georgia to 3? We move to 2?

That puts us playing Georgia in Atlanta. LSU and Ohio State playing in the Desert?

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No


Dec 1, 2019, 10:07 AM

UGA would then likely be #3. OSU at #1 would play in Atlanta against #4 (Utah or OU/Baylor). We'd still be out west in Arizona.

The only way I can see us playing in Atlanta is if LSU loses to UGA AND Ohio State loses to Wisconsin; thereby moving us up to #1.

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Re: No


Dec 1, 2019, 10:10 AM

Yeah.

I think it's overwhelmingly likely we get LSU in the Fiesta.

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Re: No


Dec 1, 2019, 10:12 AM [ in reply to No ]

1 Ohio State would probably be playing 4 LSU in the Fiesta Bowl if LSU loses to UGA. The OP is correct.

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Based on OP original assumption.


Dec 1, 2019, 10:25 AM

That is correct. One would think LSU would fall to #4 and Ohio State wouldn't want to play them in Atlanta.

The extra added benefit would be having Georgia and Clemson beat each other up in Atlanta!

But, come to think of it, didn't Ohio State beat Alabama in the Sugar Bowl in 2014 playoffs! I don't think it matters to them. Whatever will be most convenient for their fans - which would be Atlanta.

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I don't even know where to begin...


Dec 1, 2019, 10:36 AM [ in reply to Re: No ]

1st off... You are assuming that LSU would fall to 4 if they lost to UGA and be in the CFP instead of a 1 loss conference champion from the Big 12 and/or Pac 12. That's a fallacy. Either UGA or LSU will be in the CFP... not both.

2nd... If OSU is #1, they're playing in Atlanta because it is much closer to Ohio. Full Stop. Let that sink in for a bit. Ohio is closer to Georgia than it is to Arizona. The only possible exception to this might be if UGA were #4 (something that is pretty much impossible) and the committee thought playing in Atlanta would be a disadvantage to Ohio State. Then, and only then, would Ohio State play in Arizona.

There is so much false information going around here. If you're going to comment on the subject, at least do a little research. Visit www.fivethirtyeight.com and play around with the different scenarios to get an idea of who will likely be in the CFP given certain situations. Then, understand how the sites are selected by the committee to give an advantage to the #1 seed. The actual text of their directive on site selection has been posted on TNet ad nauseam the past few weeks.

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Re:in that scenario


Dec 1, 2019, 10:25 AM [ in reply to No ]

OSU and Utah would likely play in the West. Just guessing of course.

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Re: Our most realistic chance of playing in Atlanta is if


Dec 1, 2019, 10:39 AM

What is both OSU and LSU win squeakers and we dominate? Any chance we move to #1?

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Re: Our most realistic chance of playing in Atlanta is if


Dec 1, 2019, 10:47 AM

If LSU loses to UGA this would be the playoffs:

LSU vs Auburn in Fiesta Bowl
Georgia vs Bama in Peach Bowl

At lest that is the way the CFP wants it.

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