I think UCF has a chance to make the CFP this year (long)

Nov 2, 2018, 10:15 AM

Here's the way I see the remainder of the season playing out.

SEC: Bama wins out, UGA, LSU, UK, all end up with 2+ losses. (UGA beats UK, Bama beats LSU, Bama beats UGA). One caveat here is; if Bama loses a game, the SEC will likely get 2 teams in (Bama and SEC Champion)

ACC: Clemson wins out, no other team has a shot at the playoff even if Cuse or NC State survives with 2 losses.

PAC 12: Washington State is the only 1 loss team with a chance right now. Decent schedule of Cal, @ Colorado, Arizona, Washington, and probably Utah in the Championship game. I think they'll slip up and lose at least one of those.

Big 12: WVU and OU are the only two remaining teams with 1 loss, and Texas has 2 losses. WVU will lose one of their remaining games (@UT, TCU, @ OK St, or OU). OU has an easier schedule with TTU, Ok St, Kansas, and then @ WVU. Even if they win out, they'll likely have to turn around and beat WVU again in back to back weeks in the Championship game... I don't see any of these teams finishing with less than 2 losses.

Big 10: This is where I think UCF will need some help. Michigan will likely lose another game (they always fall apart this time of year). I think they'll lose @ Penn St this weekend. OSU would have to lose another game (most likely Mich St or Michigan, Championship). They have a terrible loss on the record, but if they win out, they'll get in over UCF. At the big house, Michigan will be a big test for them, and Michigan is past due to win one of these games.

Bama, ND, and Clemson will be in. I personally think OSU will win out and snag that 4th spot... BUT if there is chaos in the Big 10, and OSU and Michigan finish with 2 losses, it will be very interesting to see what the committee does provided UCF wins out.

Would they take a 2 loss P5 champion, or an undefeated UCF who hasn't lost a game in 2 years. I think they would take UCF in that situation, if for no other reason than just to try to prove a point. They know UCF would get destroyed by either Bama or Clemson, and that would shut up the non-P5 teams for awhile.

Imo, it really won't take much chaos for this 2-loss P5 team vs UCF scenario to play out.

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I think UCF has a chance to make the CFP this year (long)

Did you watch the game last night? Eye test and no defense***

Re: Did you watch the game last night? Eye test and no defense***

Absolutely won't, and shouldn't happen

Re: Absolutely won't, and shouldn't happen

I believe Michigan

I could agree with you but then we'd both be wrong.***

I posted this in another thread, but their SoS is 127th.

Re: I think UCF has a chance to make the CFP this year (long)

Re: I think UCF has a chance to make the CFP this year (long)

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