Path to ACC #5 seed, NCST has adv. in 4-way tie

Mar 4, 2020, 9:47 AM

Current standings:

SYR - 10-9 (last game @ Miami)
ND - 9-9 (home games vs FSU and VT)
CU - 9-9 (GT, @ VT)
NCST 9-10 ( home vs Wake)

GT - 9-9 (forfeited, plus we play them and would knock them out if we win)

We need to win out and really need for ND to lose to have a shot. This helps us in 3-way tie or head to head scenarios.

If everyone wins out, in a 4-way tie (record vs tied teams)
#5 NCST (3-1), #6 ND (2-2, 1-0 vs CU), #7 CU (2-2, 0-1 vs ND), #8 SYR (1-3)

3 way ties
If NCST loses but everyone else wins
#5 ND (2-1), #6 CU (1-1), #7 SYR (1-2)

If SYR loses
#5 NCST (2-1), #6 ND (1-1), #7 CU (1-2)

If ND loses
#5 CU (2-1, 1-1 NCST, 1-1 LOU, 1-1 FSU), #6 NCST (2-1, 1-1 CU, 0-1 Lou, 0-1 FSU), #7 Syr (0-2)

head to head ties:
CU vs SYR: CU
CU vs NCST: CU (1-1, 1-1 LOU, 1-1 FSU, NCST did not beat these teams)
CU vs ND: ND

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I think I can simplify it:

If everyone wins out...the 3 way tie with Clemson, Syracuse and Notre Dame is what would happen. N.C. State can only get to 10-10, and those three would be 11-9 in that scenario.
For there to be a 4 way tie...everyone would have to be 10-10.

If we win both games, I think we'll be 5th, likely by ourselves.
If we split, we'll be in tiebreaker stuff...but to be honest, I'm not sure that it matters.
I think at this point, the only team I don't want to see until the semifinals or finals is FSU (I think they'll end up the 1 seed).
5,6, or 7 won't be too much of a difference. The first game will be against teams that are basically the same....we'll be favored, but they are all capable of pulling that upset.
If we win that, it's on to face one of the top 4...and they'll be favored, but we'll be capable of pulling the upset. I do think we match up better with Louisville and Duke than we do FSU on a neutral court. UVA always seems beatable, but we have not fared well against them recently.

Path to ACC #5 seed, NCST has adv. in 4-way tie

Re: Path to ACC #5 seed, NCST has adv. in 4-way tie

crap I just noticed something NCST, only has 1 game

Re: Path to ACC #5 seed, NCST has adv. in 4-way tie

NCST actually has a slim path as best they can finish is 10

I think I can simplify it:

Slight correction....

Re: Slight correction....

They're scrappy, no doubt. But I don't think they would

noticed that after I posted, I have posted a correction***

updated, made a mistake with NCST, they are

Thanks. man losing to ND killed us***

Wake and Miami too***

ND vs FSU game on at 9 on ESPN2

Re: ND vs FSU game on at 9 on ESPN2

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