This is a good read. It's what I've thought all along.
Trubisky is the pretty boy that checks all the boxes but you don't know what's going on between his ears, or how he plays in clutch moments in big games. Mahomes has a cannon for an arm and a sloppy delivery, Webb is the poster child for an average QB getting moved up draft boards because of "measurables," and Kizer is a wildcard who could be Logan Thomas or Ben Roethlisberger.
But at the core you know what you're getting with Watson. His floor is pretty high--possible unsuccessful starter turned solid backup--and his ceiling is as high as he wants it to be. I understand that you don't want to waste a high pick on a QB who may never pan out, but just looking at the tape, his success on the field at the college level, and the fact that he has most of the measurables tells me that he should be worth that high pick. People try so hard to nitpick at the players at the top in order to find flaws, and it makes no sense.
The only player I could justify going ahead of him would be Trubisky. He's got the measurables and had a pretty solid career at UNC--albeit only one season as a starter, backing up a guy who isn't even in the NFL (don't get me started on that.) But Mahomes, Webb, Kizer, Kelly, Dobbs, or any other QB shouldn't even be in the same conversation.