Tiger Board Logo

Donor's Den General Leaderboards TNET coins™ POTD Hall of Fame Map FAQ
GIVE AN AWARD
Use your TNET coins™ to grant this post a special award!

W
50
Big Brain
90
Love it!
100
Cheers
100
Helpful
100
Made Me Smile
100
Great Idea!
150
Mind Blown
150
Caring
200
Flammable
200
Hear ye, hear ye
200
Bravo
250
Nom Nom Nom
250
Take My Coins
500
Ooo, Shiny!
700
Treasured Post!
1000

YOUR BALANCE
Help me understand
storage This topic has been archived - replies are not allowed.
Archives - Tiger Boards Archive
add New Topic
Replies: 9
| visibility 1,808

Help me understand


Jan 5, 2020, 11:04 PM

How LSU is favored by 5.5 pts but we have a 55.8% chance of winning?

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

No. I think your question is rhetorical and you know the answer.


Jan 5, 2020, 11:06 PM

And the line continues to grow.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-10yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


One is a function of what the betting public thinks will


Jan 5, 2020, 11:12 PM

happen, the other is a score based on some odd-ball formula that ESPN put together.

Neither one will have any bearing on what happens during the game.

We were favored by 2.5 over Ohio State but that ESPN calculation gave them a greater percentage chance at victory.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

null


Re: One is a function of what the betting public thinks will


Jan 5, 2020, 11:35 PM

This is what I figured but wasn’t completely sure. Thanks for the replies

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

The favorite is based on how Vegas can best...


Jan 5, 2020, 11:13 PM

“Hedge their bets”

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-10yr.jpgbadge-ringofhonor-franc1968.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Help me understand


Jan 5, 2020, 11:24 PM

ESPN’s FPI isn’t Vegas.

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"Anybody that says Coach Brownell is the best coach to come through Clemson is going to start an argument." -JP Hall


Re: Help me understand


Jan 5, 2020, 11:41 PM

It isn't just ESPN. 538 has it 53%/47% in our favor.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Vegas isn’t in the Business of picking winners and losers,


Jan 6, 2020, 1:11 AM

They’re in the business of making money, setting lines is all about enticing people to give their money away. All humans are emotional and every decision they make is biased by emotion and advertising and Vegas exploits that emotion everyday.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Humans vs. Math.***


Jan 6, 2020, 9:49 AM



flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

It's the New Maffs.


Jan 6, 2020, 9:52 AM

:)

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-10yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Replies: 9
| visibility 1,808
Archives - Tiger Boards Archive
add New Topic