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Update Exhaustion
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Update Exhaustion


Jul 5, 2022, 10:26 AM

I've gone from laser like focus on what the stock market is doing to being locked in on Conference expansion rumors. What an exhausting Summer.

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The stock market is unfortunately easy to follow right now.


Jul 5, 2022, 10:35 AM

Just imagine a boulder going downhill, gathering momentum as it goes. And there you have the stock market at present. Almost continually DOWN. Any small gains on a given day immediately wiped out and then some by the next big tumble on the following day. It may ALL be gone by the time the next election rolls around.

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Re: The stock market is unfortunately easy to follow right now.


Jul 5, 2022, 10:56 AM

Seems to be hovering around 30000 for the time being. When earnings start being reported shes going down again. Oil just went below $100 though and I don't think Ukraine last more than six months.

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SPY is currently at about 375. Next significant level of


Jul 5, 2022, 11:30 AM

support is down around 320-325. We'll almost certainly hit that. Below that, it's a free fall all the way down to 220, the lows of early 2020, with no technical support in between. That's a 54% drop from recent highs. With interest rates, inflation, continuing supply chain issues, likely rise in unemployment, and still more Biden/Putin, that's very likely. That spells opportunity for some, and hard times for many others.

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"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard."
- H. L. Mencken


Quantitative Tightening


Jul 5, 2022, 1:57 PM [ in reply to The stock market is unfortunately easy to follow right now. ]

Quantitative easing has lead assets to grow, so logically it would be safe to believe that quantitative tightening will make them go down.

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Yes


Jul 5, 2022, 2:09 PM

Yes

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