»
Topic: NCAA Tournament Regional odds
Replies: 16   Last Post: Mar 16, 2021, 10:15 AM by: CitadelTiger®
This topic has been archived - replies are not allowed.


[ Archives - Tiger Boards Archive ]
Start New Topic
Replies: 16  

NCAA Tournament Regional odds

[2]
Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 1:23 PM
 

NCAA Tournament Regional Odds

Odds to Win East Region

Michigan 11/5

Alabama 7/2

Texas 6/1

Florida State 13/2

Colorado 8/1

UConn 8/1

LSU 12/1

BYU 14/1

Maryland 14/1

Michigan State 28/1

St Bonaventure 28/1

Georgetown 40/1

UCLA 40/1

UNC Greensboro 66/1

Abilene Christian 100/1

Iona 100/1

Mount St Mary’s 200/1

Texas Southern 200/1



Odds to Win Midwest Region

Illinois 5/4

Houston 7/2

West Virginia 13/2

Oklahoma State 15/2

Tennessee 9/1

Loyola Chicago 12/1

San Diego State 12/1

Georgia Tech 14/1

Clemson 25/1

Rutgers 25/1

Syracuse 25/1

Oregon State 40/1

Liberty 50/1

Cleveland State 100/1

Drexel 100/1

Morehead State 100/1



Odds to Win South Region

Baylor 110/1

Ohio State 15/4

Arkansas 9/1

Texas Tech 9/1

Purdue 10/1

North Carolina 12/1

Wisconsin 12/1

Villanova 16/1

Virginia Tech 16/1

Utah State 18/1

Florida 28/1

Colgate 40/1

Winthrop 40/1

North Texas 66/1

Hartford 100/1

Oral Roberts 100/1



Odds to Win West Region

Gonzaga 1/2

Iowa 15/4

Kansas 11/1

Virginia 11/1

Creighton 16/1

Oklahoma 18/1

Oregon 18/1

USC 18/1

Missouri 33/1

VCU 40/1

Wichita State 40/1

Ohio 50/1

UCSB 50/1

Drake 66/1

Eastern Washington 66/1

Grand Canyon 100/1

Appalachian State 250/1

Norfolk State 250/1

link

I keep looking for dook and uscjr. What are their odds to

[1]
Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 1:27 PM
 

win their bracket?

2021 purple level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpgringofhonormyfavorange.jpg link

Re: NCAA Tournament Regional odds

[1]
Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 1:45 PM
 

Thanks. Helps me with my bracket.

link

Re: NCAA Tournament Regional odds

[1]
Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 1:47 PM
 

Notice Georgia Tech's odds are nearly twice as good as ours. Because we are MIS-SEEDED, Judge!

link

I don't think you understand how betting odds work.***

[1]
Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 1:59 PM
 



2021 white level member link

Cobbox on Brad Brownell: “His only problem is he has to deal with turd fans questioning every move he makes.”


Re: I don't think you understand how betting odds work.***

[1]
Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 2:55 PM
 

Georgia Tech is 14/1
Clemson is 25/1

You don't understand that means that GT is a much more likely team to advance?

link

Okay, you definitely don't understand how it works.***

[1]
Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 2:57 PM
 



2021 white level member link

Cobbox on Brad Brownell: “His only problem is he has to deal with turd fans questioning every move he makes.”


Re: Okay, you definitely don't understand how it works.***


Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 3:02 PM
 

Why don't you enlighten me? If you are referring to the mathematics of it, you are just plain wrong.

link

Re: Okay, you definitely don't understand how it works.***


Posted: Mar 16, 2021, 9:21 AM
 

Judge Keller® still waiting...

link

Re: Okay, you definitely don't understand how it works.***

[1]
Posted: Mar 16, 2021, 9:36 AM
 

Since I am often Judge's burner account...

My favorite example - if random folks are asked to pick heads or tails for a coinflip- about 80% will actually pick "heads" (psychology says so). That does not mean that the coin-flip will be 80% heads. The ACTUAL probability remains the same regardless of the betting line.

What the odds mean is that more bettors THINK that GT is more likely to advance. There is ZERO impact on actual performance here.The relationship between those odd and say "metric" prediction or actuall advancement is "spuriious".

In statistics, a spurious relationship or spurious correlation[ is a mathematical relationship in which two or more events or variables are associated but not causally related, due to either coincidence or the presence of a certain third, unseen factor (referred to as a "common response variable", "confounding factor", or "lurking variable").

Vega betting odd have actually NO impact on the likelihood of a team advancing (unless you have players betting on the game and then adjusting the outcome). Betting is all about "mass" perception and where money is flowing from the bettors. In some cases it could be that bettors like the metrics more, or the color of the uniform more, there are more GT folks betting, or even random bets/picks.

In this case of it being "spurious" I am saying that both players and past performance metrics are both feeding the betting odds as well as factor into predictions to advance and win the region. So if you are using betting information to pick outcomes, well that is kinda spurious.

link

Re: Okay, you definitely don't understand how it works.***


Posted: Mar 16, 2021, 9:50 AM
 

You are clearly much more intelligent than Judge, so I appreciate your logical response. And it's not wrong. But to me, there is too large a disparity between 14/1 and 25/1 mathematically to be solely attributed to projected betting trends considering our seeding comparison and the much easier 2nd round matchup we would face.

For the books to be equally exposed on GT and Clemson, there would have to be about 1.8x money bet on the Jackets at those odds. And I'm not saying there wouldn't be...people are more confident in GT advancing because they truly do have a better shot of accomplishing it. That fact goes back to my original point - we are over-seeded. Or, they are under-seeded, if stating it that way drives a less emotional reaction.

link

Please see Future Doc’s post below.


Posted: Mar 16, 2021, 9:52 AM
 

He explained it very well.

Hope that helps.

2021 white level member link

Cobbox on Brad Brownell: “His only problem is he has to deal with turd fans questioning every move he makes.”


Re: Please see Future Doc’s post below.


Posted: Mar 16, 2021, 10:10 AM
 

All that tells me is that you have no idea what you are talking about and rely on others to back up your comments

link

Thats just one Book .... Mine has same exact odds +1898


Posted: Mar 16, 2021, 10:15 AM
 

For Clemson and GTech !

2021 purple level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg link

I'll take Baylor at 110/1 in the South Region***

[1]
Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 1:52 PM
 



link

Re: I'll take Baylor at 110/1 in the South Region***

[1]
Posted: Mar 15, 2021, 2:37 PM
 

ACC Betting Line:

Florida State - 6.5/1
Virginia - 11/1
North Carolina - 12/1
Virginia Tech - 16/1
Georgia Tech - 14/1
Clemson - 25/1
Syracuse - 25/1

Can't believe with Clemson's resume that they are 25/1 odds. After beating so many teams that are in the NCAA Tournament you would think Las Vegas would have Clemson at better odds.
Maybe going 7-6 their last 13 games has something to do with the odds.

link

Yes !! Where is this book?? I want in!!***


Posted: Mar 16, 2021, 10:12 AM
 



2021 purple level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg link

Replies: 16  

TIGER TICKETS

FB GAME: Season Tickets
FOR SALE: FOR SALE : 2 season tickets. North Lower Deck Section UO Row L, Odd numbered seats near aisle. 45 Ya...

Buy or Sell CU Tickets and More in Tiger Tickets!

[ Archives - Tiger Boards Archive ]
Start New Topic
1102 people have read this post