Seems a lot of people are asking that question. The answer might be found in this equation.
On average, Bama has been holding teams to about 50% of that team's average points per game.
So the question becomes, who can hold Bama to 50% of that team's own season average?
Bama has been scoring an avg of about 47 points per game.
(The following assumes Bama would hold these teams to 50% of their season averages.)
>> ND averages 35 PPG............Bama would need to be held to 17 (44% of their avg.) >> Michigan averages 37 PPG...Bama would need to be held to 18 (38% of their avg.) >> Georgia averages 39 PPG.....Bama would need to be held to 19 (40% of their avg.) >> Clemson averages 44.7 PPG.Bama would need to be held to 22 (47% of their avg.)
I think Clemson and Michigan are the two teams with the defenses that could even come close to doing that. And Clemson's offense is better suited for a shoot out if needed.
Re: Which team is most likely to beat Bama? We are!
Nov 15, 2018, 3:43 AM
I like the effort and the conclusion, but there are lots of unknowns in the equation. I'll sum up my thoughts with this. As the season goes on, for many reasons, Clemson gets stronger and Bama weaker. Come Natty time...