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Freshman [0]
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Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 4:42 PM
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I love Clemson football. Always have always will. That said, I also love data and statistics. From a quantitative perspective we have slipped the past three seasons. I’m fearful our football years return to our historical mean. This would suggest mostly seven and eight win seasons with trips to bowls like in Shreveport, Birmingham, Nashville, and such. That’s what the data suggests. I’m running a few regression models and will do a deeper dive into where the analytics send us.
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CU Medallion [57087]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 4:45 PM
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Sounds like you know a lot about bowl trips to Shreveport, coot.
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All-In [25964]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 4:47 PM
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The coots have been slipping for quite a while now.
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CU Medallion [53773]
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Slipping, hell, they've dropped the whole transmisision.***
Sep 10, 2021, 10:04 PM
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CU Guru [1682]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 5:59 PM
[ in reply to Re: Regression to Mean ] |
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"They are cycling out and we are cycling in!" Todd Ellis, about a decade and a half ago!
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All-In [44044]
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What would those mathematical models have predicted
Sep 11, 2021, 9:23 AM
[ in reply to Re: Regression to Mean ] |
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in 2008 for the following 13 years?
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110%er [6515]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 4:50 PM
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Clemson football has its ups and downs and South Carolina just had that one up for a couple years a decade ago, so I can why you’d post this bs
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CU Guru [1041]
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yea... that's it, we're cycling out right?***
Sep 10, 2021, 4:56 PM
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Oculus Spirit [96848]
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Nice first post...
Sep 10, 2021, 4:57 PM
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coot
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110%er [6474]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 5:00 PM
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I don't think we are going to revert back that far.
I do predict that if we want to continue to be in the top 6 programs on the nation, Dabo is going to have to humble himself and use the transfer portal. It's a huge disadvantage not to use it.
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Orange Blooded [2471]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 11:54 PM
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He might have to use the transfer portal but definitely needs to rethink the offense. We've gotten stale and predictable. Saban changed his offense. Dabo will have to as well.
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Orange Blooded [3824]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 5:09 PM
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A polynomial function is an expression which consists of a single independent variable, where the variable can occur in the equation more than one time with different degree of the exponent. The variable in the equation you presented is that you're a coot on a Clemson message board. Since you love data, I imagine you need a given answer to be provable. Proof you are a coot = your mention of Shreveport, Birmingham, and Nashville bowl games. Only a real coot would think of those first.
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110%er [9903]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 5:22 PM
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You think he’d be thrilled with 7-8 win seasons considering their 2 and 4 win seasons.
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Orange Blooded [3824]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 5:27 PM
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One would assume
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Hall of Famer [24545]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 8:51 PM
[ in reply to Re: Regression to Mean ] |
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A polynomial function is an expression which consists of a single independent variable, where the variable can occur in the equation more than one time with different degree of the exponent. The variable in the equation you presented is that you're a coot on a Clemson message board. Since you love data, I imagine you need a given answer to be provable. Proof you are a coot = your mention of Shreveport, Birmingham, and Nashville bowl games. Only a real coot would think of those first.
You....have.....to...be...an...engineer....
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Orange Blooded [3824]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 10:29 PM
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Actually I spend my days analyzing carcass data and reproduction efficiency metrics for a company that feeds/sells about 1M head of cattle/year and 800K head of hogs/year. Even though we don’t own any poultry, a chicken is fairly easy to pick out of a crowd.
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Oculus Spirit [76935]
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Orange Blooded [3138]
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y?µ a?? ? €???***
Sep 10, 2021, 5:19 PM
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Orange Blooded [2936]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 5:23 PM
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So what the data say about South Carolina and Georgia ? My data says one is a women’s Basketball school and the other is Do Less with more U that did not score a touchdown with more 5 stars starting than any other team ever .
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All-In [40767]
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Clemson is one of the top 20 programs of all time.
Sep 10, 2021, 5:32 PM
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Your chickens are one of the worst. In fact I can’t think of any program anywhere with a fanbase as engaged as the gamecocks, who throw as much money and support behind the program as they do, who get a worse return on their investment. You guys are the freaking Cleveland Browns of college football. Pathetic troll attempt. -1 coot.
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CU Medallion [65421]
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LOL! Statistics say, with a first post like this one, full
Sep 10, 2021, 5:33 PM
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of feathers, you will soon have to be pulling out another scok, because this one will be defunct.
If you love the statistics, they should say your Cooties don't even average a Tidee Bowl every few years. 
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CU Guru [1685]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 5:52 PM
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I love Clemson football. Always have always will. That said, I also love data and statistics. From a quantitative perspective we have slipped the past three seasons. I’m fearful our football years return to our historical mean. This would suggest mostly seven and eight win seasons with trips to bowls like in Shreveport, Birmingham, Nashville, and such. That’s what the data suggests. I’m running a few regression models and will do a deeper dive into where the analytics send us.
Get this chicken out of here now!
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110%er [5832]
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Re: I almost gave you the honor of being the first person,
Sep 10, 2021, 6:00 PM
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that I ever TD'd. However; I wanted to keep my no TD record intact, but please go away, anyway.
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MVP [502]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 6:03 PM
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That type of regression model would only work with limited variables. That is assuming past inputs mimic future inputs and that the results from those inputs give the same predictive results. Very flawed assumptions. Way different staff, place in recruiting, landscape of college football, etc
Generally these models do well to tell you what happened but very poorly predict what will happen.
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All-In [36409]
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Have you eaten feces lately?***
Sep 10, 2021, 6:20 PM
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Rock Defender [53]
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**No he is on a cocksonly diet like his brethren******
Sep 10, 2021, 6:23 PM
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Orange Blooded [2780]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 6:36 PM
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Lies, #### lies and statistics
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Orange Blooded [2780]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 10, 2021, 6:38 PM
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They hashed out the word that starts with a d, ends in an n and has an a and an m in the middle. Silly, silly, silly
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Hall of Famer [24545]
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Ahhhhh another person joining t-net...
Sep 10, 2021, 8:50 PM
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Just to do more b******* and Moaning.....
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Legend [15863]
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Regression to COOT
Sep 10, 2021, 10:37 PM
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There is a statistical possibility you are not an idiot
but I doubt it is true
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Legend [16251]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 11, 2021, 12:33 AM
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All-American [557]
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Sloth troll...
Mar 20, 2021, 9:01 AM
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No regression models running, no data, just a hypothesis
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All-American [557]
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Sloth troll...
Sep 11, 2021, 2:30 AM
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No regression models running, no data, just a hypothesis
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Orange Blooded [2861]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 11, 2021, 8:41 AM
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I hate to break it to you but that is every historically successful football programs mean. Go check Bama.
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CU Medallion [52323]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 11, 2021, 9:04 AM
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It's a proven fact that analytics don't always work.
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Orange Blooded [2288]
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Re: Regression to Mean
Sep 11, 2021, 9:39 AM
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Regression to a moron or less.
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50
