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Topic: ESPN only gives us a 35.9% chance to beat FSU
Replies: 15   Last Post: Feb 14, 2018, 10:15 AM by: Tigs577
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Replies: 15  

ESPN only gives us a 35.9% chance to beat FSU

[1]
Feb 12, 2018, 6:31 PM
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I know FSU is pretty good and on the road this will be a tough game.
But if we are truly the 11th ranked team it’s a game we should win.
Let’s prove them wrong GO TIGERS!

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ESPN gives us a 73.7% chance to beat FSU at home on 2/28***


Feb 12, 2018, 6:39 PM
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Re: ESPN gives us a 73.7% chance to beat FSU at home on 2/28***


Feb 12, 2018, 6:54 PM
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What's the spread?

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There's really on 1% chance we'll lose.


Feb 12, 2018, 6:40 PM
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Unless we do, then it's 100%.

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Re: ESPN only gives us a 35.9% chance to beat FSU


Feb 12, 2018, 6:42 PM
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Easy Monies

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DB23


Re: ESPN only gives us a 35.9% chance to beat FSU


Feb 12, 2018, 6:47 PM
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Big deal, but I think we win.

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Re: ESPN only gives us a 35.9% chance to beat FSU


Feb 12, 2018, 6:45 PM
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Kind of game we have to win if we are going to be champs. I think we win.

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Sounds about right. It means if we played 3 games there...


Feb 12, 2018, 7:06 PM
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we'd win 1. We struggle @ FSU, mainly bc their D is long and athletic. They also always seem to go on a scoring spree at one point that puts us way behind. I think our guard play is much better this year, so barring a UVA-type performance from our guys, we should be in this one. Just split this week @ FSU and Duke and I'll be happy.

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Won't be stressed over it if we lose. A W on the road,


Feb 12, 2018, 8:05 PM
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though, against a Top 50 RPI - very skrong. Four day gap till Duke at home after is nice also.

We won't have played in almost a week before FSU so could be a little rusty and out of sync.

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Re: ESPN only gives us a 35.9% chance to beat FSU


Feb 14, 2018, 4:05 AM
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So we really are the underdogs tonight. I hope our guys show them how wrong they are underestimating the Tigers again

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Go Tigers! Once A Tiger Always A Tiger


It’s not real life.


Feb 14, 2018, 7:37 AM
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Like...we don’t actually only have a 35.9% chance of winning.

HTH

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Sounds about right. A road game against the #23 team in


Feb 14, 2018, 8:15 AM
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Kenpom is not an easy W. FSU's length and athleticism also tends to give us trouble.

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This has everything to do with Home/Road


Feb 14, 2018, 9:35 AM
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Nothing to do with rankings. Look at the ACC standings and check out the home records...

11 teams have 3 or fewer losses at home. This isn't a game we should be expected to win based on rankings. FSU is a 2.5 point favorite at home. We'll be a bigger favorite when they play here and would be favored on a neutral court, but winning on the road in the ACC is a tough task. Remember we didn't exactly crush Wake at home, we had to hold on for the win. FSU lost at Wake. Wake is 13th in the standings.

I suspect of the 3 road games remaining (FSU, VT, Cuse) we'll do well to win 1 of those and there's nothing wrong with that. All three may wind up being in the dance.

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Re: This has everything to do with Home/Road


Feb 14, 2018, 10:13 AM
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Like you said FSU lost to Wake on the road ,highly ranked teams rarely lose to teams like Wake.
This time of the year the cream rises to the top.
Good teams , highly ranked teams either drop or move up this time of the year.
So if we are truly a top 10 type team then we will prove it on the court.
I think we have a better chance at sweeping FSU than beating Duke at home.
We will see , would be nice to win them all.


Message was edited by: Tigs577


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So you're saying there is a chance... I like the odds!***


Feb 14, 2018, 9:36 AM
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Re: ESPN only gives us a 35.9% chance to beat FSU


Feb 14, 2018, 10:00 AM
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Vegas line is FSU -4.5. This will be a very big challenge on the road.

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