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Climate change ripples showing
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Replies: 17
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Climate change ripples showing


Jul 1, 2022, 9:01 AM

in the business world ...

Hope y'all didn't over-extend yourselves ... its gonna get rough ... just the beginning

Thanks. Brandon.

https://www.linkedin.com/news/story/layoff-tidal-wave-hits-san-francisco-5368132/


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Some frens of mine visited Tahoe, Napa, and SanFran


Jul 1, 2022, 9:05 AM

A couple weeks ago. Said SanFran was eerily quiet with relatively few people on streets. They did say there was one nut job raising hell in Union Square, no police around to deal with him.

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dot com 2.0


Jul 1, 2022, 10:50 AM

Sure. I has nothing to do with the fact that Wall St. investors basically lost their #### mind over the last two decades, you know, these are the idiots that tried to sell us WeWork at a $47 billion dollar valuation.

I have no idea how a company that makes video games gets a $9 billion dollar valuation, but it's just a symptom of out-of-control greed that creeps in when too much leverage is allowed to enter the marketplace.

But, sure Brandon, whatevs.

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Re: dot com 2.0


Jul 1, 2022, 11:20 AM

around 76% of PC software sales are games. The younger generations are driving this growth, and game studios are being bought because the same tech and software platforms used to make games, will be used in the creation of the Metaverse. It is mostly intellectual property, and large companies like Microsoft, Amazon, apple, stc.. are attempting to create a monopoly by acquiring all of the major game studios and stifling competition in this emerging marketplace. The line between virtual reality and gaming is out of focus and will eventually converge, this already has in the film industry. Visual effects studios are being replaced by real-time environment content, see most of Disney's new Stars wars franchise offerings, the environments are rendered out in real-time, using this same tech, on a background screen with the actors performing in front of it., I digress.

This will be an interesting thing to keep an eye on if you want to put your money somewhere safe, Microsoft will be a safe bet because they have been in this area for a couple of decades with their Halo franchise. Amazon and Facebook are not safe bets here as they are newcomers.

Unfortunately, I believe the Metaverse will be an escape for a lot of people as the conditions in their real lives will continue to take a nose dive and people can be sold the perception of wealth status in the metaverse when physical resources run scarce. It is literally the matrix happening in reverse.

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yeah, this is the problem


Jul 1, 2022, 12:21 PM

I've been hearing the same thing. I'm familiar with metaverse stuff and am kind of into it from the perspective of a Neal Stephenson, Snow Crash pov. It's kind of a sci-fi geeks dream come true on a certain level, so I can appreciate what attracts people to the space. I've been researching it on and off since 2016, have read all the relevant white, beige, and mauve papers.

The part I don't like is what you've just pointed out, that a significant amount of our intellectual energy is disappearing into this virtual space, trapped by the ironic motivation that it wishes to escape reality. It's unfortunately very esoteric, not really relevant to the day to day survival of the vast majority of human beings. Gaming culture has sucked the life out of the brains of millions of young people, allows them to waste away in frivolity, a distraction from the misery of their daily lives that for some conspiracy of evolution, destiny and fate doesn't match with the Gianluca Vacchi's of the world.

For that reason, I don't think it is sustainable, and I worry that the vast number of people who are engaged in it are starting to deal with a severe wake up call. They need to remove the goggles and to remember what the real world values in order to put food on the table and a roof over their heads, because this metaverse stuff will quickly become a luxury in the current economic climate.

In general, a lot of loose money creates flights of fancy. Architects don't really need VR to do good design, and I can see how a lot of it is motivated by value-engineered bean counters. I'd even argue that a lot of this tech has caused architecture to kind of revisit the Brutalist movement, especially BIM. About every new building going up in the southeast has a kind of brown block, minecraft look, totally vanilla, non-inspiring, just blah. Bim Block Buildings.

Anyway, hardcore reality of recession will inject some pain where it didn't exist before, because we've put the cart way before the horse. Especially the metaverse stuff. When the money evaporates, society returns to the ground, and values the companies that make the real things that the world depends on. Not the phoney ####.

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I just re-read that in my best "Old Man Smithers" voice


Jul 1, 2022, 12:34 PM

god I'm old

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dot com 2.0 - Over-valuation bubbles - tulip bulb frenzy


Jul 1, 2022, 11:06 PM [ in reply to dot com 2.0 ]

As an old guy (in the 50+ crowd), I never cease to be amazed at valuation / over-valuation bubbles.

This goes way back to the tulip bulb frenzy in the 16th century (I'll conclude this post with the cut-and-paste below). No shizz, I mean a true speculative frenzy. This 'over-valuation' of assets psychology never ends; it's just that the asset category of the bubble change periodically.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Tulipmania is the story of a speculative bubble, which took place in the 17th century when Dutch investors purchased tulips, pushing their prices to unprecedented highs.

During Tulipmania, the average price of a single flower exceeded the annual income of a skilled worker and cost more than some houses at the time.

The example of Tulipmania is now used as a parable for other speculative assets, such as cryptocurrencies or dot-com stocks.

Tulipmania reflects the general cycle of a bubble, from the irrational biases and group mentalities that push prices of an asset to an unsustainable level, to the eventual collapse of those inflated prices.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

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Not familiar with Dutch history, but I think Mises got it right and


Jul 2, 2022, 8:04 AM

The bubbles are caused by malinvestment which is caused by easy credit (money invention). Again I have no idea, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Dutch had just introduced fractional reserve banking before tulip mania happened.

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Re: Not familiar with Dutch history, but I think Mises got it right and


Jul 3, 2022, 10:32 PM

Good question. I.e., did the Dutch have a primitive version of a fractional reserve system) which accelerated Tulip Mania?

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Re: Climate change ripples showing


Jul 1, 2022, 11:11 AM

Unity will eventually fold due to competition from NC native Epic Games (Fortnite developer). Epic basically is like Microsoft at this point, with unlimited resources.

https://www.fortnite.com/fortnite/en-US/news/fortnite-battle-royale-v21-10-update-darth-vaders-lightsaber-super-level-styles-looking-for-party-and-more


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I forgot those guys were NC natives.***


Jul 1, 2022, 11:33 AM



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drunk at the putt putt.


Re: I forgot those guys were NC natives.***


Jul 1, 2022, 11:36 AM

Yeah, Epic moved from Toronto to Raleigh/Cary more than 20 years ago. They employ quite a few people.

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Definitely going to see more of this.


Jul 1, 2022, 11:40 AM

Especially with NCs favorable corporate tax environment.

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drunk at the putt putt.


Re: Definitely going to see more of this.


Jul 1, 2022, 11:53 AM

no, actually Tim Sweeney, the founder of Epic Games, bought large tracts of land in 2008 in NC during the last great recession because he got in for cheap, it had nothing to do with the business laws. He is now the largest private land in the state and is very much a conservationist, liberal, and Philanthropist. He gives his software out for free. We literally do not pay a dime for it.

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Companies are moving to NC because of


Jul 1, 2022, 11:57 AM

Taxes and business climate. That's a fact.

2024 purple level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

drunk at the putt putt.


Re: Companies are moving to NC because of


Jul 1, 2022, 9:44 PM

yes, in some industries. But NC is devoid of the Talent required in the CG industry; LA, NY, Austin, London, Tokyo, Vancouver, Aukland, etc.. That is where the talent lives, and the studios follow the talent, not the other way around. Business friendly is a non issue in a boutique industry, the profit margins are excessive. If you want the top talent, you set up in the most desirable areas. If you are a large corprorate entity with tons of overhead, then yes, Florida and Texas are your best bets. NC has less to offer.

FYI, You are talking to a guy that worked as a VFX artist in the film industry for several years. I know what it is like to slave in a room full of geniuses with ADD and Asperger's, I did this for a few years, on then 400 million + production budgets. I worked my way up to lighting Technical Director before burning out and moving back east, to North Carolina of all places. There was no work there, I quickly left.

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Re: Companies are moving to NC because of


Jul 2, 2022, 9:52 AM

Anyone can use the Unreal Engine for free, but if you make revenue by creating a product and selling it, you owe Epic a royalty. They make plenty of $$ from the UE.

RTP may not be LA or Tokyo, but Epic can get whoever they want and do pretty much anything they want in the AR/VR space.

I don't know Sweeney's personal political stance, but even billionaire's can easily be guilted over to the dark (dem) side. Maybe even easier than commoners because money is meaningless to them. Maybe it was Mark and not the entire Epic team that moved from Toronto, but I know Mark pretty well from way back. He is also a fairly recent investor in Virginia International Raceway (VIR) and, of course, owns a garage full of supercars.

Microsoft has significant ambitions in the "metaverse" concept. MS and Google are working towards a complete 3D model of the entire globe - all buildings and human-made structures in all cities in all countries. It will be (they think) the backbone or infrastructure on which all types of software will run. I have insider knowledge on this stuff. These technologies play into the mission of NGA - national geospatial intelligence agency - they do all the maps for DoD.

Microsoft is using its IVAS program to create underlying technologies to support both the Army program and its commercial ambitions. IVAS is another example of the dumbing down of government. A few Army generals were sold a bright shiny object that has been a vacuum sucking up Army $ and significantly underperforming. The Generals were hoping throwing billions at a problem and hiring Microsoft would just "work out." But it ain't. IVAS will never function at night like it was supposed to. Old fashioned tube-based night vision goggles significantly outperform digital cameras and IVAS. I've worn them both - plus IVAS pumps out extraneous light (revealing soldier locations) that NVGs avoid.

https://taskandpurpose.com/news/army-new-futuristic-ivas-goggles/


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Re: Billionaire 'land grabs' = less affordable housing


Jul 3, 2022, 10:42 PM [ in reply to Re: Definitely going to see more of this. ]

I know nothing of the gaming world, and hadn't paid any attention to that industries billionaires who made their hay in gaming programs.

But I do find it fascinating that so many of the High Tech billionaires are buying up huge tracts of land (along with foreign billionaire globalists) in the USA. Bill Gates jumps out for this practice.

So many of these billionaires are self-proclaimed liberals, but their liberalism is really associated with the conservation movement (i.e., removing land from being developed).

Any guess about what this does for housing? Yep, it raises the cost of housing, and therefore makes housing less affordable to everyone ... including the under-privileged of all racial demographics.

It is this strange hypocrisy of the Democrats which drives me nuts. The Democrats rant and rave about affordable housing, yet the removal of buildable land from the housing market is the single largest factor in the decline of affordable housing.

The Democrats talk about gov't intervention to 'force' greedy banks to lower their credit standards and/ or interest rates; these legislative measures are simply political theater which their deceived supporters among the under-privileged gobble up hook, line, and sinker.

Where are the true liberals who care about their less fortunate American citizens? Hardly any true liberals left any more ... all that remain are leftists.

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