|
Replies: 10
| visibility 1,580
|
Varsity [205]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 222
Joined: 4/23/14
|
Questions about hosting a regional?
Jun 5, 2018, 10:12 AM
|
|
With 8 of the 16 hosting teams being eliminated, is it really an advantage to host a regional?
2 National Seed Stanford, 4 National Seed Ole Miss, 7 National Seed Florida State, 8 National Seed Georgia, 10 Clemson, 12 East Carolina, 15 Coastal Carolina, and 16 NC State were all eliminated. It seems as though being a 2 seed in a regional is the better advantage than being a 1 seed. I would never condone "sandbagging" in order to try and get to a #2 seed in a regional, but just thought I would throw that out.
|
|
|
|
 |
All-In [30757]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 34454
Joined: 6/22/03
|
Yes ..always advantage to playing at home
Jun 5, 2018, 10:14 AM
|
|
Always
|
|
|
|
|
|
Varsity [205]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 222
Joined: 4/23/14
|
8/16 is 50% though....
Jun 5, 2018, 10:19 AM
|
|
does not seem like it to me, at least this year. If a 50/50 shot is all it is, then there is no advantage...am I right. I am not saying we should never try and host, but is it an advantage to host?
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hall of Famer [21614]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 23418
Joined: 8/16/03
|
There are 4 seeds. Do the math for each one.***
Jun 5, 2018, 10:26 AM
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Orange Blooded [3121]
TigerPulse: 97%
Posts: 5113
Joined: 9/2/05
|
Re: 8/16 is 50% though....
Jun 5, 2018, 10:28 AM
[ in reply to 8/16 is 50% though.... ] |
|
It was one year. Almost every year, more host teams advance to the supers than do not.
Also, you're using 50/50 as a reason to purposely sandbag for a 2 seed in a regional? Ahh yes, let's intentionally lose regular season games so, based off this 1 year alone, we have the exact same odds to advance compared to if we were hosting.
You, my friend, are a true genius.
|
|
|
|
|
|
All-In [29036]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 36097
Joined: 8/28/00
|
Another way to look at it
Jun 5, 2018, 10:36 AM
[ in reply to 8/16 is 50% though.... ] |
|
For each regional where the host team advanced (8 in total):
--->Winner: Host
--->Losers: 3 Non host teams
For each regional where the host team did no advance (8 in total):
--->Winner: non-host
--->Losers: 1 host team, and 2 non-host teams
Thus in the 16 regionals you have:
50% (8/16) of the host teams advancing.
16.6% (8/48) of the non-host teams advancing.
50% > 16.6%, so yeah, there seems to be an advantage.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CU Medallion [60204]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 42549
Joined: 11/30/98
|
as Chris Williams said, "baseball is very random"
Jun 5, 2018, 10:25 AM
|
|
more than any other sport. You can prepare, train, and button up every detail, but if the team you are playing gets hot, or the opposing mop-up pitcher has a good day and your ace doesn't, there's not much you can do about it.
That's why even the best major league teams still lose 40% of their games every year. They may win 100 games, but they also lose 60.
|
|
|
|
|
|
All-In [25860]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 20588
Joined: 7/31/07
|
Re: as Chris Williams said, "baseball is very random"
Jun 5, 2018, 10:33 AM
|
|
It is also noted that your head for the selection committee is the AD for your rival and a cheerleader for the SEC. Thus the loss for Clemson, East Carolina, Florida St., etc. Three weaker teams in the Greenville, N.C. regional should not be allowed ever.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CU Guru [1243]
TigerPulse: 27%
Posts: 8289
Joined: 2/1/04
|
Re: as Chris Williams said, "baseball is very random"
Jun 5, 2018, 11:50 AM
|
|
The losses are not on the committee. They are on the teams.
Clemson was at HOME and was a better team than Vandy all year long- except this past weekend. Vandy is a good team, but they are not where they were several years ago.
South Carolina had to go on the road. ECU should have given South Carolina all they could handle. ECU was a solid team this year. But ECU couldn't win games in the regional to even face South Carolina. The last time South Carolina was sent to ECU, ECU won the regional.
EVERY COACH prefers to be at home. There is no baseball coach that wants to be on the road in a regional- NONE.
Despite this year, it's hard to go on the road in NCAA regionals and win. The stats over the years prove that very clearly. It's not even close. Earning and being awarded a HOME regional is a big advantage.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rock Defender [53]
TigerPulse: 90%
Posts: 35
Joined: 11/30/98
|
Why would you want to play a 1 seed?
Jun 5, 2018, 10:30 AM
|
|
On the road?
|
|
|
|
|
|
CU Medallion [60204]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 42549
Joined: 11/30/98
|
Ole Miss lost 2 home games in the entire season
Jun 5, 2018, 10:34 AM
|
|
and they lost 2 home games yesterday to an Ohio Valley Conference team.
These things happen in baseball.
Being a baseball fan is tough, and even unfair at times.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Replies: 10
| visibility 1,580
|
|
|
50
