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Rock Defender [53]
TigerPulse: 91%
Posts: 58
Joined: 8/11/12
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Path to the CFP
Nov 16, 2022, 8:45 AM
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The Tigers need to take care of business in their remaining games and also need a lot of dominos to fall into place, but the good news is there IS a path to the top 4 for Clemson. Anything is possible in College Football. Here is what we need:
#8 Alabama - we can assume Bama will win their final 2 games, with two losses already on their board there is no way committee selects them over Clemson if we run the table and are the ACC Champs.
#7 USC - high likelihood they fall to either ND or UCLA otherwise need them to lose in PAC-12 Championship. History suggests they are a candidate to be upset.
#6 LSU - be real, they are not beating Georgia in SEC Championship game, so with 3 losses they will be out.
#5 Tennessee - two cupcakes to finish the season, yet no SEC Championship. However, will be a 1 loss team and have been the darlings of the media this year, so likely they sneak in.
#4 Michigan and #3 Ohio State - one obviously will take the loss in their head to head battle. A blow out would almost certainly knock the loser out of the top 4 contention. A close game could leave the losing team higher than us by the committee, but still think an ACC Championship would give us the edge. Pulling for a blow out.
#2 TCU - Baylor could play spoiler, if not need TCU to fall in Big-12 Championship, which is very possible. A loss wipes out any CFP chances they have, shortest leash of the current top 4.
#1 Georgia - while I would love to see Georgia fall in the regular season ,not happening with the two remaining tomato cans on their schedule. An LSU upset in the SEC Championship would be devastating to Clemson as that would put LSU in and Georgia is not falling out of the top 4 - so 2 slots would be filled. Need Georgia to beat LSU.
Go Clemson Tigers!
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All-TigerNet [13479]
TigerPulse: 100%
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Joined: 8/30/18
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Re: Path to the CFP
Nov 16, 2022, 9:03 AM
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Good summation and I would agree. A close game between MI-OSU could muck it up. The committee does not have much respect for the ACC so not sure if that would be enough to keep us ahead of the MI-OSU loser in a close game. They say a conference championship matters in a close call so that will test that theory if it were to come down to that.
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110%er [6006]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 3310
Joined: 5/13/00
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Re: Path to the CFP
Nov 16, 2022, 9:15 AM
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Baylor is all over the place this year, but they should be able to give them a game. I thought Texas was a good opportunity for a loss, but TCU controlled that one, despite the late scoop and score. "Go Dawgs!" Boy, need to go gargle with formaldehyde.
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Orange Blooded [4304]
TigerPulse: 96%
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Joined: 11/7/22
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lol. I thought the same thing about UGA this morning. mygosh***
Nov 16, 2022, 9:20 AM
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Starter [385]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 816
Joined: 11/30/98
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Re: Path to the CFP
Nov 16, 2022, 9:44 AM
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Does it make us Gamecock fans Saturday?
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CU Guru [1370]
TigerPulse: 98%
Posts: 1503
Joined: 11/20/05
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Re: Path to the CFP
Nov 16, 2022, 10:14 AM
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Yes and we need to pull for Fl State and ND to win out! Helps the resume in the end
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Rock Defender [53]
TigerPulse: 91%
Posts: 58
Joined: 8/11/12
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Re: Path to the CFP
Nov 16, 2022, 10:23 AM
[ in reply to Re: Path to the CFP ] |
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I hate to say it, but yes. Of course after the game will need to take a shower to make sure the stink gets washed off. LOL
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CU Guru [1370]
TigerPulse: 98%
Posts: 1503
Joined: 11/20/05
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Re: Path to the CFP
Nov 16, 2022, 10:26 AM
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The Bird Flu is what I would call it! Something you try to avoid or ask for, but part of life!! Lol!
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110%er [7971]
TigerPulse: 90%
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Joined: 11/28/03
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Re: Path to the CFP
Nov 16, 2022, 10:29 AM
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You cant assume a W in the ACCCG. I think we will win but is not a given as UNC is a scoring machine.
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Scout Team [167]
TigerPulse: 99%
Posts: 109
Joined: 12/21/21
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Re: Path to the CFP
Nov 16, 2022, 10:43 AM
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Would agree and add that it would probably be best that Michigan lose big to Ohio State than vice versa. They would have a bad resume, a blowout loss, and not even a division championship.
One scenario I was thinking about was 12-1 Clemson vs 11-1 UT. I would not feel good about our odds in that case. The problem is they are sitting at 5, and there isnt much chance they drop over their last 2 games. They can and probably will run the score up on SC and Vandy. I doubt we do that to either Miami or SC, which of course is a common opponent and another data point for comparison.
So if they simply win those games they're not going to drop from 5, which means we have to leap-frog them. Even if we blow out Miami and SC that wouldn't get us there. Only way that could happen is a decisive win against 11-1 UNC in the ACCCG.
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Oculus Spirit [80221]
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Joined: 8/21/06
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Just win, baby.***
Nov 16, 2022, 11:01 AM
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Scout Team [167]
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Joined: 12/21/21
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Re: Just win, baby.***
Nov 16, 2022, 11:23 AM
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Just winning out for us will be challenge enough.
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Orange Blooded [2679]
TigerPulse: 100%
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Joined: 10/29/99
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Generally agree...
Nov 16, 2022, 11:08 AM
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Alabama is a non-issue
Tennessee is our biggest concern as it could very easily be us vs. them for the 4th spot
Georgia beating LSU is almost a must - unless LSU loses one before then
USC will probably lose a game, but if they don't its close between them and us
TCU losing would certainly help, but is not absolutely necessary depending on other outcomes
OSU beating Michigan is probably better than vice-versa - especially if it is close
FSU and Notre Dame winning out would significantly help given that it would knock USC out and also take Florida down another step in the eyes of the committee.
UNC winning until them play us in the ACC Championship would be a plus.
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110%er [6096]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 13242
Joined: 11/10/00
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this looks actually possible. Win out men and your in,
Nov 16, 2022, 11:55 AM
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nm
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