I think we need to finish 10-8 in league play, and one of those 3 wins needs to be over PITT. That gets us on the bubble leaning in. A win in the ACC Tourney would probably pushes us in. A loss would not necessarily mean we are out, but I think it would depend on who we are playing, who else was on the bubble and what they did, etc.
I think we are capable of getting those wins, but it will be tough.