Tiger Board Logo

Donor's Den General Leaderboards TNET coins™ POTD Hall of Fame Map FAQ
GIVE AN AWARD
Use your TNET coins™ to grant this post a special award!

W
50
Big Brain
90
Love it!
100
Cheers
100
Helpful
100
Made Me Smile
100
Great Idea!
150
Mind Blown
150
Caring
200
Flammable
200
Hear ye, hear ye
200
Bravo
250
Nom Nom Nom
250
Take My Coins
500
Ooo, Shiny!
700
Treasured Post!
1000

YOUR BALANCE
The end of the Wal-Mart economy. Can you do it?
storage This topic has been archived - replies are not allowed.
Archives - General Boards Archive
add New Topic
Replies: 34
| visibility 642

The end of the Wal-Mart economy. Can you do it?


Jun 20, 2022, 12:00 PM

I'm hearing more & more, from both sides of the political spectrum that we are going to have to bring back manufacturing and internal supply chains (wait, you mean NAFTA and globalism didn't work?). No more dirt cheap crap to buy at Wal-Mart. Retail prices more accurately reflecting the real price of goods, especially once we stop using China and its cheap slave labor.

So my question is, are you ready? Could you afford to pay much more for goods as we bring manufacturing and supply chains back to the US?

We did it when I was a kid but my Dad worked in a factory that actually, you know, made things. He was paid a good wage with solid benefits based on being in a union and working for a company that made goods that were sold at a high price. Now we are a service-based economy in which 70% of the economy is based on consumer spending. We don't make stuff. We buy and sell stuff, at low margins on high volume.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: The end of the Wal-Mart economy. Can you do it?


Jun 20, 2022, 12:04 PM

sure can, if you get rid of unions.

military_donation.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Unions help when real goods are being made, IMO


Jun 20, 2022, 12:29 PM

Unions at Starbucks? Not so much.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Unions help when real goods are being made, IMO


Jun 20, 2022, 12:39 PM

Unions at Starbucks are effing ridiculous anyway.

Howard Schultz is one of the more benvolent CEO's in the known universe. Starbucks doesn't pay super-well but their benefits are incredible...for 20 or 25 hours of work a week - I know it's somewhere in there - employees can get some of the most amazing bennies (especially insurance) available in the workplace today. His whole philosophy was to make Starbucks a flexible and empowering place to work.

And of course, the entitled effing Bernie Bros working for him unionized anyhow. Which is going to kill that golden goose and make sure the only stores open are going to be freaking Dunkin' Donuts. Which do not offer remotely the same benefits and pretty much treat their employees about the same as a Waffle House or Mickey D's.

Yeah, barristas. You go. Fight The Man.

https://www.workstream.us/blog/starbucks-your-special-blend-benefits-package-is-perfect-for-hourly-workers-heres-why


flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: Unions help when real goods are being made, IMO


Jun 20, 2022, 2:07 PM [ in reply to Unions help when real goods are being made, IMO ]

Lots of cars/airplanes are built in the U.S. without unions. They seem to do quite well..

military_donation.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Unions served a purpose when there was a good chance you would


Jun 20, 2022, 8:50 PM [ in reply to Unions help when real goods are being made, IMO ]

go to work and lose a hand. Nowadays, not so much.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

How many of our children or grandkids aspire to work …


Jun 20, 2022, 12:26 PM

in manufacturing, construction trades, agriculture, hospitality etc.

Where can we find workers to fill the shortages in these blue collar jobs? ?? How have we historically handled this?

badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Who wants to work in a factory when you could be an


Jun 20, 2022, 12:38 PM

influencer instead? My kids actually have friends and that's all they do, and all they aspire to do. Some have degrees from Clemson and other local universities.

2024 purple level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard."
- H. L. Mencken


keep these youtubers off of my dang lawn!***


Jun 20, 2022, 4:45 PM



flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Not many, BUUUUT, I have a PhD-holding friend who works a


Jun 20, 2022, 8:22 PM [ in reply to How many of our children or grandkids aspire to work … ]

side hustle at an Amazon distribution center in the Chicago area. Why? Mindless work. Good pay. Healthcare benefits.

The person owns a private practice that makes a very nice top line revenue each year.

There are others who would work mfg jobs for the right benefits, I am sure.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


We will at some point.


Jun 20, 2022, 12:28 PM

Rome became the wealthiest city in the world, and the wealthiest country, on the backs of conquered lands and people, who could sell the city goods, pay taxes, and provide Romans with goods FAR beyond their own domestic/local capabilities. We have done the same thing in the US. It's because we are a dominant military power, which underwrites it all. Military dominance makes the currency the safest, safe currency makes it valuable in OTHER places. That drives trade, and importing more goods than the nation/state could produce on its own.

Only two things derail our economy, war and/or (evidently) a pandemic. We don't know, nor understand, how dependent we are on other countries for what we take for granted. I'm typing this post on a Chinese keyboard, using a Chinese mouse, with two desk lamps made in China, with a VERY old desk made in Canada, sitting in a chair made in China, in a house with Chinese drywall, Chinese light fixtures, on a computer with chips made in Taiwan and China, and a monitor made in South Korea, with a phone on my desk made in China, from a Korean company, and my house was built with largely imported goods and non-domestic labor. I drive a car with foreign made parts. Just bought new tires from China. My shirt was made in Malaysia, and my boxers in Guatemala. And that's just sitting here at my desk.

Yeah, it's going to change at some point. We take so much for granted, really we do. Our demand has outstripped our domestic labor supply for a very long time. We simply can not make enough goods to satisfy demand, at a price that maintains demand. This happened in Rome a very long time ago as well. We consume the labor of more than 400 million people. We consume the labor of well over a billion people. We don't have a billion people. We rely on free trade to deflate prices, and when we must have domestic labor (for domestic goods and services) we allow immigrants, legal and illegal, in by the millions to subsidize domestic labor. It all hinges on the dollar, and that relies on military dominance. If another country rises, their currency will challenge ours, and we will lose labor, supply, etc. A pandemic can do the same thing really, accomplish the same domestic demand problems without a war.

We think we live in some bubble. We think if we earn X dollars, we can afford Y products. We don't know or care about the labor that made them, we care about our finances, and then the price of goods. We want a car, we go out and buy (usually finance) one. We know they're made here in the US, but with a massively streamlined labor force, and even then they use imported parts. Chips from Singapore, rubber from China, we can't assemble vehicles without foreign parts. So we lose China's supply chain, and many other countries, and we all of a sudden can't afford the things we thought we could afford and we thought we made. At prices we once were accustomed to. We castigate and complain about trade deficits, then gladly spend our dollars further on imported goods made cheaper than we can make them. We lament illegal immigration, yet we gladly buy the house they built, cheaper than American workers could build it. We eat cheap food, made cheaply either through mechanization of agriculture, or where manual labor is needed, with imported labor. And we think that food costs X, and then suddenly it costs Y when we don't have enough because the tractors lack foreign parts, or lettuce pickers are not allowed to flood the border for their seasonal agricultural harvesting they do for us, illegally.

Yes, it will end sometime. And the worst part is we will blame whoever we can, other than the person who stares at us in the mirror every morning.

Some people will be fine, but MANY people, most people, will not know how much they relied on others until others can not be relied on. The realization we don't stand on our own two feet will be the hardest thing to swallow.

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpgringofhonor-tiggity-110.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: The end of the Wal-Mart economy. Can you do it?


Jun 20, 2022, 12:28 PM

Is there really an option?

We have to sort out our energy policy and supply chain, and ensure what we need here, we make here.

This present economy is all about ownership, as you mentioned...and oh, yeah, it's now increasingly become just a service economy for blue-collar workers. That isn't sustainable either, it pretty much hollows the middle class right on out and leads to the current rich-elites-versus-resentful-working-class tension we're seeing all over the Western world today.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


There definitely needs to be a massive shift


Jun 20, 2022, 1:17 PM

in the labor pool. I posted on this a while back after driving from Nashville to Indy or Columbus...can't remember. But what hit me in driving through these little midwest towns is why do we have 19 fugging fast food joints?

How many FTEs are appropriating their time doing useless ####, at extremely low wages, when the product they're producing is horrible for society? Certainly not the solve, obviously, but still something that's limiting our production, IMO.

We're trying to automate but the guys in my field are at or way over capacity as is. I'm sure resources are even tighter on the pure MFG / Production focused automation shops.

We're at capacity in the transportation space. Driverless trucks are way farther off than people think, based on my understanding of driverless vehicles (something I have experience doing).

I've posted before that I'm a firm believer in Fordism. We've shifted away from this by exporting production overseas or south, and now have a generation that couldn't support the production needed.

Again - just my opinion - we're in a mess that won't be fixed in a generation. It would take two at a minimum. And furthermore, I believe it would take a catastrophic type event (Armageddon depression/collapse and/or WW3 with China) to push the needle. The shareholders and string pullers seem to be pretty satisfied with the status quo as is.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

People are saying COVID, Ukraine, and China are exactly


Jun 20, 2022, 1:59 PM

what is pushing it now. And the whole QE/Fed policy house of cards is finally collapsing, along with the "retail investor" (us little guys) class in the stock market.

I think we see these changes fairly short-term (20 years, one generation).

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: People are saying COVID, Ukraine, and China are exactly


Jun 20, 2022, 2:13 PM

I agree with a lot of what dawghater says there, but I do think it's becoming glaringly obvious to most folks what we're doing now economically not only isn't working and is hollowing out our middle class...and it's also making us dangerously vulnerable to a whole bunch of different foreign disruptions to our own supply chain.

I mean, that was obvious back when we were just dependent on OPEC for our oil but most everything else was Made In America. (Remember when everything in Wal-Mart had that sticker on it? Try looking for one of those stickers now.) Now we're dependent on everybody for, well, everything.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: The end of the Wal-Mart economy. Can you do it?


Jun 20, 2022, 1:54 PM

yes

military_donation.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Irony is that the problems are also global


Jun 20, 2022, 2:26 PM

just about every country on earth is dealing with supply chain issues primarily due to labor shortages.

No one here agrees with me on this topic, but it is a demographic problem and it won't go away by just building more factories. Every top 20 GDP country has a skilled-labor deficit that was exacerbated by the pandemic. The big reveal of the last two years is how dependent everyone was on an aging workforce, and now that they aren't coming back to work, we have to pay the new price.

If we want to ease the financial burden, yes we have to make more manufacturing jobs here but we will also have to import more skilled workers.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Correct. The "developed" economies of the world depend on


Jun 20, 2022, 3:18 PM

cheap labor - whether it's illegal Latinos in the US, Turkish guest workers in Germany, Koreans in Japan, South Asians in the UAE, or Uighur slaves in China.

Thing is, we have so many poor people who need the dirt cheap prices at Wal-Mart, what happens to them when the prices start going up?

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


the gap will just grow wider


Jun 20, 2022, 5:24 PM

One observer I follow said it this way:

"The amount of wealth that was redistributed upwards in the last cycle was unnatural and driven by a combination of policies and attitudes that prioritized capital over labor, favored credit over capital and valued stories over substance.

The mean reversion will be fierce."

Problem is, while we are reverting, there will likely be the usual social strifes: desperation, crime, and chaos.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: the gap will just grow wider


Jun 20, 2022, 7:27 PM

Yikes! Now I do not feel so bad about my glass is half empty prediction.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


environmentalist will never let if happen


Jun 20, 2022, 3:19 PM

global warming and all

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-10yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


NAFTA and GATT contributed greatly to low inflation from


Jun 20, 2022, 4:08 PM

the mid-90s to 2020.

My father was in the same union at the same plant where your father worked but let's not pretend unions in this country didn't go waaay too far as far as wages and benefits. This has hurt U.S. companies as much as anything.

My father retired in 1992. I think he hit it just right as far as being among the many who benefitted from unionism at it's maximum.

We're in a global economy and burying our heads in the sand and bringing supply chains back to the U.S. and shutting out the rest of the world ain't gonna happen thank God.

The biggest issues with inflation now are that we have post COVID demand, yet the supply hasn't caught up yet. It's going to take a few years.

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpgringofhonor-jospehg.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: NAFTA and GATT contributed greatly to low inflation from


Jun 20, 2022, 4:29 PM

I don't think we'll ever reshore everything. That horse is well and truly out of the barn.

We do have to figure out what we need - the stuff that is legit "essential" - and make sure that what we absolutely need here, we make here. It is just not acceptable that China can take over 90% of the semiconductor market and cut us off at the knees...just by taking Taiwan. We have to put a priority on reshoring our chip foundries. There's undoubtedly a laundry list of other stuff like that as well.

Chief among them, we're going to have to figure out something as far as the stuff required for battery production - lithium and cobalt in particular. Again, it's not OK we're relying on China for that. It can be weaponized against us and is already being weaponized against us, in fact.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Yep. The Chinese control African cobalt, so we're trying


Jun 20, 2022, 4:39 PM

the Artic.

https://archive.vanityfair.com/article/2022/5/green-gold


2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: NAFTA and GATT contributed greatly to low inflation from


Jun 21, 2022, 2:07 AM [ in reply to Re: NAFTA and GATT contributed greatly to low inflation from ]

That just makes too much sense for our administration to put in to play

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

For relaxing times, make it Suntory time


It's a matter of national defense.


Jun 20, 2022, 4:30 PM [ in reply to NAFTA and GATT contributed greatly to low inflation from ]

We can't get away from offshore mfg entirely, but China is the big player and our relationship with them is strained, at best.

When they take Taiwan, what can we do? Nothing much. But if we try to do anything, all of the sudden all the cheap crap we take for granted goes away pretty quickly.

Oh. And I will pretend I never heard you say anything about the Teamsters. Wouldn't want anything bad to happen.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


My father helped organize the Teamsters at Owens-Corning.


Jun 20, 2022, 5:04 PM

He had some good stories...knives getting pulled on him, etc.

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpgringofhonor-jospehg.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Even back in the day Greeks and Turks worked at OCF.


Jun 20, 2022, 8:16 PM

A Greek dude (natch) ran the clubhouse (yes, they have an employee clubhouse with beer on tap and real food), a Turkish dude worked in the plant. Tensions were high at times.

Immigrants. They built 'Merica. Still building.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


I work at a factory that we actually make stuff at


Jun 20, 2022, 4:39 PM

I know this because people are continually amazed at this when they visit. We take raw material and produce a viable product that ships.

The middle class starting disappearing when manufacturing did. Think about how many textile plants have shut down, how many auto parts are not made here anymore. Yes, it will cost more but it's a better deal for the old US of A to make our own #### and not trust banana republics and commies to do it

2024 purple level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

The only reason stuff would be more expensive


Jun 20, 2022, 5:09 PM

is because of the bullsh** government we have. If we had a system of private property rights and free exchange, the environment would be protected and efficiency would make up for the cost of labor. When you take out the cost of shipping and kickbacks to politicians, prices would probably even be lower.

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-10yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: The end of the Wal-Mart economy. Can you do it?


Jun 20, 2022, 5:14 PM

Good thread. I'm concerned we have too many constraints to fix the issues. A population that is "too good" for blue collar work. Environmentalists stopping this and that. Fossil fuels being limited. Growing national debt. The division between left and right...now I sound like chicken little.

If the USA were a public business with stock, what does the prospectus say? LOL, I think it would be horrible. I would consider shorting the USA at this moment in history.

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Re: The end of the Wal-Mart economy. Can you do it?


Jun 20, 2022, 7:50 PM

We should build more plants in Mexico, since that is where the labor is.

2024 orange level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Well, that was the promise of NAFTA and Matamoros.***


Jun 20, 2022, 8:18 PM



2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Best thread on Politics Board in months. TU!


Jun 20, 2022, 8:44 PM

Gives me hope there’s intelligent life in here!

badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

OK. Well, contribute to the convo and get me over the top


Jun 20, 2022, 8:47 PM

for a trophy poast with a TU and maybe Uncle APM will keep putting meaty, bipartisan topics out there for us.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Replies: 34
| visibility 642
Archives - General Boards Archive
add New Topic