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Orange Blooded [3459]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 1702
Joined: 4/20/04
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Antoine Sampah and Crystal Ball
Apr 30, 2019, 10:14 AM
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Antoine Sampah = Crystal Ball in which I will place no more credence!
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All-In [27366]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 26233
Joined: 9/19/11
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You need to follow the Money Ball...***
Apr 30, 2019, 10:15 AM
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All-In [48078]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 49059
Joined: 5/16/04
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Re: Antoine Sampah and Crystal Ball
Apr 30, 2019, 10:19 AM
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They were never an exact science. I never took them that seriously. They usually mean something, but I don't expect the "expert" to be clairvoyant.
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Legend [19590]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 16894
Joined: 9/5/02
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The experts are predicting where the recruit will choose
Apr 30, 2019, 10:19 AM
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to commit.
They aren't able to predict the school's recruiting board and what changes happen there.
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Hall of Famer [23100]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 19802
Joined: 1/15/11
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They were right
Apr 30, 2019, 10:20 AM
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Clemson can't take his commitment right now with those they think they have committing. He didn't want to wait. Will he DeCajun if a spot opens up ? Who knows ?
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Hall of Famer [24162]
TigerPulse: 94%
Posts: 16412
Joined: 8/6/02
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Antoine will change his mind before signing date
Apr 30, 2019, 10:20 AM
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.
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Team Captain [451]
TigerPulse: 61%
Posts: 358
Joined: 4/25/19
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I we truly want him to, he will.***
Apr 30, 2019, 12:30 PM
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Team Captain [451]
TigerPulse: 61%
Posts: 358
Joined: 4/25/19
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"F!".. literally and figuratively***
Apr 30, 2019, 12:31 PM
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Standout [327]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 756
Joined: 2/6/01
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Re: Antoine Sampah and Crystal Ball
Apr 30, 2019, 10:23 AM
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You are talking about a kid that never mentioned LSU in his top group and only visited LSU as a part of a bus tour with his team.
Those bus tours are basically 20 kids getting a facility tour. Not like a personal visit.
You expect people to predict the future for a kid that has no bases for making that decision that we know of
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All-In [30764]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 34460
Joined: 6/22/03
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Well yes. Isn't that their job?***
Apr 30, 2019, 11:18 AM
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Orange Blooded [3459]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 1702
Joined: 4/20/04
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Re: Well yes. Isn't that their job?***
Apr 30, 2019, 1:07 PM
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Agree!!!!!!
If they don't have enough info to give a credible guess, then don't!!! They had Sampah at 100%.
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All-TigerNet [13035]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 22352
Joined: 4/24/04
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Nobody sets a percentage
Apr 30, 2019, 1:39 PM
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"They" didn't have him at anything.
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All-In [30764]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 34460
Joined: 6/22/03
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It's 1 of those "fool me , Shame on you... trick
Apr 30, 2019, 2:44 PM
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Me into paying for your predictions, shame on me.
Right?
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All-In [30764]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 34460
Joined: 6/22/03
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It's 1 of those "fool me , Shame on you... trick
Apr 30, 2019, 2:44 PM
[ in reply to Nobody sets a percentage ] |
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Me into paying for your predictions, shame on me.
Right?
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110%er [7723]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 5929
Joined: 12/14/15
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Just stop.
Apr 30, 2019, 10:30 AM
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Sampah only had 2 CB’s. One from almost 6 months ago and one from a guy who has no clue about Clemson recruiting. The CB shows trends and the current momentum. Nobody had any clue where Sampah was going.
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Orange Blooded [2217]
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Posts: 3280
Joined: 3/7/12
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Thank you
Apr 30, 2019, 10:40 AM
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Some people on here are just looking for the smallest thing to complain about.
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Orange Blooded [4132]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 3981
Joined: 1/22/03
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Re: Thank you
Apr 30, 2019, 11:06 AM
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###### there was an Amoeba in my cereal this morning. Then my wife split atoms with me over whether to take the trash out this morning or wait til this afternoon!
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All-In [30764]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 34460
Joined: 6/22/03
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Amen.. now tell that to these recruiting sites
Apr 30, 2019, 11:20 AM
[ in reply to Just stop. ] |
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So they can stop taking advantage of people with their balls.
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All-In [30764]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 34460
Joined: 6/22/03
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Amen.. now tell that to these recruiting sites
Apr 30, 2019, 11:20 AM
[ in reply to Just stop. ] |
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So they can stop taking advantage of people with their balls.
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CU Guru [1322]
TigerPulse: 99%
Posts: 2115
Joined: 12/25/10
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Inability to read a Crystal Ball doesn't make it useless***
Apr 30, 2019, 12:05 PM
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All-TigerNet [13035]
TigerPulse: 100%
Posts: 22352
Joined: 4/24/04
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A few pointers here for interpreting the crystal balls
Apr 30, 2019, 1:49 PM
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1) Don't put much stock into the percentage. 100% absolutely does not mean anyone is 100% certain where the recruit is going. The percentage is just based on how many educated guesses (that's all these really are) there are for each school.
2) As with pretty much anything, a larger sample size is better. 10/10 CBs to Clemson is much more relevant than 1/1. If there are only 1 or 2 CBs for a big time recruit that means most of the "experts" don't have a good feel for where the kid is going.
3) Newer predictions mean much more than older predictions. Look at the date the predictions were made. Crystal balls from a year ago are often worthless.
4) Look for trends. A guy could be 75% Ohio State, but if there are 20 CBs and the last 5 are all to Clemson, you should feel pretty good about our current position with that recruit.
Hope that helps.
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110%er [5072]
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Posts: 5618
Joined: 8/17/03
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Re: A few pointers here for interpreting the crystal balls
Apr 30, 2019, 3:06 PM
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That explains it perfectly. To add a bit, you could in theory have only 1 expert make a prediction for where they think a recruit is going, and that will make it 100% for whichever school the pick is for. Then a week later another expert makes a prediction for the same recruit, but picks a different school then each school will have 50%.
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50
