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YOUR BALANCE
FB Update: Clemson ranked in Top 15 of ESPN's FPI
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FB Update: Clemson ranked in Top 15 of ESPN's FPI


Oct 16, 2014, 8:27 AM

 
Clemson ranked in Top 15 of ESPN's FPI

Read Update »


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32.7% ???


Oct 16, 2014, 9:31 AM

only a 32.7% chance to win out? That's weak! Is this based on D Watson being injured? I think we have at least an 85% chance. I trust my Tigers to continue to play lights out, especially the defense!!

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

What do you think our average chance of winning would be?


Oct 16, 2014, 9:37 AM

For example, what percentage would you put on the BC game? To say we have an 85% chance to win all of our remaining games would mean that on average we have about a 97% chance to win each of the remaining games taken separately.

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They even break it down by game


Oct 16, 2014, 10:29 AM [ in reply to 32.7% ??? ]

I think ESPN's numbers are about right, if not a bit generous for @ GT if we don't have Watson:

Win % by game:

BC 77.1%
Syracuse: 91.1%
@ Wake Forest: 95.1%
@ Georgia Tech: 70.7%
Georgia State: 99.7%
South Carolina: 70.2%

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Re: 32.7% ???


Oct 16, 2014, 11:13 AM [ in reply to 32.7% ??? ]

its based on simple statistics, if each game is about a 75% chance of winning then that ends up being like a 30% of winning all of them. its .75*.75*.75... etc

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Since they didn't base it off the BC game then this % is obviously based off


Oct 16, 2014, 1:54 PM [ in reply to 32.7% ??? ]

ESPiN's contract with the SEC.

badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Side note...if this holds true


Oct 16, 2014, 11:59 AM

looks like the coots will finish 6-6

Back to the good old days

flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

soooooo....espn is arguing with themselves by putting us


Oct 16, 2014, 12:35 PM

on upset alert every week?

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

"Clemson has been historically better than Carolina. That's pretty obvious." - Classof09

"No one knew we were overhyped until the season started." - Classof09


Missouri is ranked 45th!!! OMG!!!***


Oct 16, 2014, 10:22 PM



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