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Topic: Does SMU have any shot at the playoff if..
Replies: 18   Last Post: Oct 25, 2019, 4:24 PM by: MR Tiger 2U
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Replies: 18  

Does SMU have any shot at the playoff if..


Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 7:26 AM
 

they go 12-0. They are 8-0. Here is their remaining schedule.

@Memphis
East Carolina
@Navy
Tulane

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No.***

[2]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 7:33 AM
 



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not even a little bit

[2]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 7:34 AM
 

Which is stupid. College football remains the only sport in the world where several teams have literally a 0% to win the title.

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Re: not even a little bit


Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 7:38 AM
 

Would they make it of we had an 8 team playoff?

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maybe if they had the group of 5 automatic qualifier

[1]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 7:41 AM
 

(But then how would that be decided between them and a potentially unbeaten Boise State)

But if there was no qualifier then I bet not. People would rather have a 2 loss SEC team in there

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Boise lost to BYU last weekend

[1]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 7:54 AM
 

But the point is still valid. The committee would likely have to select one G5 team, and there isn't a great way to do that if there are multiple unbeaten G5s.

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Re: not even a little bit

[1]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 8:34 AM
 

If a team like SMU is put into the playoff, you are taking a team out of likely the #4 spot that will have a 60/40 chance to beat the #1 team.

The SMU team would likely be predicted around 90/10 or 80/20 at best.

That is why these teams don't get a real shot to get into a 4 team playoff.

It's essentially a bye for the top team to get to the national championship.

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Re: not even a little bit

[1]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 9:32 AM
 

Several teams? I'd say 100 out of 130 never have a shot.

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Re: Does SMU have any shot at the playoff if..

[1]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 8:17 AM
 

no

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SMU is having a great season, but stands no chance...

[3]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 8:22 AM
 

of beating any of the top 4 teams. I don’t even think a Kirby Smart coached team would lose to them.

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Re: SMU is having a great season, but stands no chance...

[3]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 8:24 AM
 

I think you are underestimating the power of a Smart team to identify the path to defeat....

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Re: Does SMU have any shot at the playoff if..

[2]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 8:23 AM
 

*Yes*

But for that to happen, you need to have several "top" teams go 10-3 or 11-2 and basically not have more than 1 or two at 11-2. Basically, the entire CFP race would need to pull an ACC Coastal move and just eat each other.

It *could* happen - see 2007 (BC 10-3 ACC champ, 11-3 Oklahoma, 11-2 Ohio State, 12-1 LSU, 11-2 USC).

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Re: Does SMU have any shot at the playoff if..


Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 8:25 AM
 

* correction, LSU was 11-2 before the BCS game,

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***NO******

[1]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 8:25 AM
 



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Re: Does SMU have any shot at the playoff if..

[1]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 9:19 AM
 

The American Athletic currently has a higher conference ranking than the ACC however they still have no legitimate shot. Two loss SEC teams, two loss Big 10 teams, maybe even 2 loss Big 12, one loss ACC, and loss Pac 10 teams would all be ahead of them. Almost impossible for 4 of the above not to occur.

http://www.realtimerpi.com/college_football/ncaaf_conf_Men.html

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Re: Does SMU have any shot at the playoff if..

[1]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 9:20 AM
 

Interesting to see if committee would take undefeated SMU over two loss p5 conference champion? (Note SMU has one p5 win over TCU). Or would it have to be a three loss p5 team?

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Yes.

[1]
Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 9:48 AM
 

If every other team has at least 3 losses.

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Re: Does SMU have any shot at the playoff if..


Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 12:29 PM
 

American has a champ game right? Wouldn't they be 13-0 then?

Either way, no they have no shot. Which to one of the commentor's points, yes this is what is wrong with CFB. A 130-team league is too big to manage. 13-people committees are better than pure computer formula or regional sportswriters. But every other sport at every other level a champ is decided on the field/track/course/court/pitch/water. There is no debating who plays cupcakes or whose schedule is what. You win and you're in.

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Re: Does SMU have any shot at the playoff if..


Posted: Oct 25, 2019, 4:24 PM
 

Not so fast, my friend. There definitely IS debating who played a cupcake schedule in college hoops. Same thing with college baseball. As for football, it's within the conference play that "things are settled on the field."

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