9-9 probably gets it done in the ACC

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All we've done so far is what we needed to do

Jan 4, 2018, 2:18 PM

The temple loss is looking a bit worse with their RPI dropping into the 30's but its by no means a bad loss at this point

We don't look to get as much mileage from the Florida and S. Carolina Wins as their RPI's have fallen into the mid 60's

So the early season schedule doesn't look quite as impressive as it once did. Only the win at OSU with their mid-40's RPI would qualify as a top 50 win.

The BC win gets another top 100 RPI win on the road as there RPI is about 80. The NCSU win was a must as their RPI is 141.

All we can really tell right now is that we're capable of beating teams in the 40 RPI range. That's a fringe tourney team. Yes I know our RPI is 10 and we are ranked, but we're about to take the real test...

Louisville (37) - Need to beat teams ranked at this level at home. I think this is a must win as wins over FSU, Miami, UNC and Duke look to be harder to come by right now.

@NC State (141) - Don't want losses to teams outside RPI 100 - a must win

Miami (26) - It would help to beat one of the 4 toughest teams we have at home (FSU, MIA, Duke, UNC)

@North Carolina (6)- Have to expect a loss here, would be helpful to keep it close

Notre Dame (64) - Must win - Don't want to lose to teams outside the RPI top 50 at home

@Virginia (9) - Likely road loss but won't hurt to lose

@Georgia Tech (208) - Tough venue for us historically, but if their RPI stays that low, it's a must win

North Carolina (6) - Winning one of the difficult home games would be helpful (FSU, UNC, DUKE, Miami)

@Wake Forest (107) - probably don't want to lose this even on the road

Pittsburgh (149) - Must win at home

@Florida State (31) - Likely loss on the road

Duke (1) - Winning one of the difficult home games would be helpful (FSU, UNC, DUKE, Miami)

@Virginia Tech (97) - Probably not a must win and based on history this isn't a game we'd win

Georgia Tech (208)- Have to win this at home

Florida State (31) Winning one of the difficult home games would be helpful (FSU, UNC, DUKE, Miami)

@Syracuse (25) - Not a likely win but would be a great resume builder to get this on the road

So looking at that we've got 4 games at home against elite level teams (Close to RPI top 25) in Duke, UNC, Miami, FSU. I think you have to win at least 1 of these. 2 would really help.

You've got 4 games against elite level teams on the road (UNC, UVA, FSU, Cuse) It's really hard to predict any of these as wins. Winning any of these games would be a huge bonus.

Now if you run through those 8 games at 1-7 that doesn't look great even if it is all against RPI top 25.

That means you really need to win all the rest of the home games (Louisville, ND, Pitt, GT) Three of those are RPI top 100, 1 is RPI top 50.

You also need to pick up two of the road games (NCSU, GT, VT, Wake) If you get two of those you're 9-7 in the ACC with 2 or 3 RPI top 50 wins. Ideally you take 2 of the 4 games from the RPI to 25 teams at home an you're 10-6 and a tourney lock. 9-7 (20-8) is probably good enough but it depends on who the 9 wins come against.

So the path is there for this team to make the tourney. I think this hype about a 4-5 seed is a bit overly optimistic because we'd have to upset some good teams to stay in that range, but all that's needed is to beat the teams at home that have 25-50 RPI and to beat the bad RPI teams on the road. It's doable, but not as easy as it looks sitting at 13-1.

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from what we have seen so far do we make the dance?

Re: from what we have seen so far do we make the dance?

Re: from what we have seen so far do we make the dance?

Re: from what we have seen so far do we make the dance?

no question at this point

Yes - but then again I only t-net coach for football and

yes bc this team will win at least half the conference***

I said we would make it before the season....

got to have winning ACC record***

All we've done so far is what we needed to do

Re: All we've done so far is what we needed to do

Re: from what we have seen so far do we make the dance?

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