Playoff Simulation predicts Oklahoma over Clemson in title matchup |
PredictionMachine.com has crunched the data for 50,000 computer simulations of the most likely teams in the four-team college football playoff (Clemson, Alabama, Oklahoma and Iowa).
The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and efficiency-adjusted team and player statistics, to play every game 50,000 times before it's played. In the playoff semifinals, the simulation has #1 seed Clemson facing off against #4 seed Iowa and has Clemson winning 72% (81.0% last week) of the time by an average score of 28-21 (29-19 last week). #3 seed Oklahoma wins 59.7% (52.3% last week) of the time against #2 seed Alabama with an average score of 29-27 (26-25 last week) in the other projected playoff semifinal. Clemson vs. Oklahoma projection in the college football championship has Oklahoma winning 71.7% chance (60.4% last week) of the time against the Tigers by an average score of 36-28 (31-27 last week) according to the simulations. The probabilities for each team to win the championship according to the simulation analysis is Clemson (22.2%, 34.1% last week), Alabama (27.0%, 29.2% last week), Oklahoma (46.6%, 33.5% last week) and Iowa (4.2%, 3.2% last week). ICYMI vide of 2014 Russell Athletic Bowl with Clemson smashing Oklahoma 40-6.
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