Playoff Simulation predicts Oklahoma over Clemson in title matchup |
PredictionMachine.com has crunched the data for
50,000 computer simulations of the most likely teams in the four-team college football playoff (Clemson, Alabama, Oklahoma and Iowa).
The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and efficiency-adjusted team and player statistics, to play every game 50,000 times before it's played. "The Tigers are still the most likely Playoff team," USA TODAY said. "Clemson has a 66% chance to be in the four-team postseason with games against South Carolina and North Carolina (ACC title game)." In the playoff semifinals, the simulation has Clemson (#1 seed) facing off against Iowa (#4 seed) and has Clemson winning 81.0% of the time by an average score of 29-19. Oklahoma (#3 seed) wins 52.3% of the time against Alabama (#2 seed) with an average score of 26-25 in the other projected playoff semifinal. Clemson vs. Oklahoma projection in the college football championship and Oklahoma wins 60.4% of the time against the Tigers by an average score of 31-27 according to the simulations. The probabilities for each team to win the championship according to the simulation analysis is Clemson (34.1%), Alabama (29.2%), Oklahoma (33.5%) and Iowa (3.2%). 2014 Russell Athletic Bowl video below with Clemson smashing Oklahoma 40-6.
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