Playoff Simulation predicts Clemson-Alabama in title game

by - Assoc. Editor -
    | has crunched the data for 50,000 computer simulations of the most likely teams in the four-team college football playoff (Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State and Notre Dame).

The Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and efficiency-adjusted team and player statistics, to play every game 50,000 times before it's played.

The Tigers have three regular season games left against teams that are outside the top 50 in our Power Rankings, USA TODAY said. "With a dual-threat quarterback and a shutdown defense (top 15 in both defensive rushing and passing efficiency), Clemson has a 63.5% chance to win out through the ACC title game and a 67.0% chance to make the Playoff."

In the playoff semifinals, the simulation has Clemson (#1 seed) facing off against Notre Dame (#4 seed) and has Clemson winning 68.0% of the time by an average score of 34-28.

Alabama (#2 seed) wins 53.4% of the time against Ohio State (#3 seed) with an average score of 26-24.

Clemson vs. Alabama matchup in the college football championship projection and Alabama wins 53.4% of the time against the Tigers by an average score of 23-22 according to the simulations.

The probabilities for each team to win the championship according to the simulation analysis is Clemson (34.2%), Alabama (32.2%), Ohio State (22.2%) and Notre Dame (11.4%).

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