Once we win Saturday we have the easiest path to the playoff.

All-In [40100]

TigerPulse: 100%

Posts: 18284

Joined: 10/28/15

Nope didn't miss it. Just also saw where they took care of

Oct 26, 2016, 3:21 PM

business against UNC and Miami. I think they are a little all over the place. Will be curious to see if they can take care of business against Pitt tomorrow. We are the superior team. But, if they put together their best game and we put together our worst, bad things could happen. We should line up against them really well on defense. Expect 10 or less points on offense. We need to keep them from scoring on defense. And as much as it sucks that DW through the pick 6, quite telling that it was his first one if you count high school and college. That's a lot of games, and a lot of thrown passes to never have had a pick six. We simply would need to play defense well and have a good offensive showing. I'm really excited to see how we come out against FSU. I think we are the dominant team and could be beating teams by much more. I'm hoping with some fresh legs, rest, some time to let brains catch up with where we are at now in our 8th game, time to prep, work on fundamentals. I'm really hopeful for looking championship ready over the next few games. To be fair, a lot of our games were ugly last year and we gave it to Alabama. I think there is a decent argument that we play to level of our opponent to a certain extent and Alabama is the same every week. I also think you could argue that we have a deceptively difficult schedule. It's very likely that Troy, Auburn, NC State were a lot better than the media gives us credit for. Also, I don't care how f-ing good Louisville is, #29 knocked Quick's ### out of bounds and we won the game! I think we win the rest of our games and if we play bama, I think it will be a fight to the finish again. Go Tigers! Do work!

flag link

military_tech

thumb_down

thumb_up

The OP merely stated the truth.

Let's say if we base it from ESPN's FPI, the chances of winning out of all undefeated teams are as follows:

1. Western Michigan 58.9%
2. Boise State 43.4%
3. Michigan 41.8%
4. Alabama 41.1%
5. Clemson 33.2%
6. Washington 24.6%
7. West Virginia 7.2%
8. Baylor 3.4%
9. Nebraska 0.2%

Alabama and Western Michigan don't play this weekend, while the chances of winning their game this weekend for Boise State and Michigan are both close to 90%. Without factoring anything else in, their win won't change anything much to the chance of winning out.

Our chance of winning the game this weekend per FPI is about 56%, if we win, that will boost the chance of winning out to around 60%, which would be the highest among all undefeated teams, not just Power 5. (I expect the chance of winning each game to improve and so the overall chance should be higher too.)

Even if you don't care about FPI, doing an eye test should see that no one else has easier schedule.

Once we win Saturday we have the easiest path to the playoff.

i wI'll be interested to see how vt progresses.***

Oh you must've missed where

Nope didn't miss it. Just also saw where they took care of

I didn't know cuse even had a woodshed...

They have "the dome". Some think it is much louder than

Re: I didn't know cuse even had a woodshed...

Or Pitt.. they control their own destiny***

Yeah, glad we play them at home. Will try to watch most of

Absolutely. Win Saturday and our odds of going 12-0

The FSU v CU game is meaningless in terms of making the CFP

^^^^Meant one loss or less***

Signed,

The CFP committee said that either one would have been in

I'm not buying that excuse. If they thought OSU was

It is a mandate and the CFP rule caused the BIGXII to make

Re: Once we win Saturday we have the easiest path to the playoff.

I don't think anyone overlooks them.

TigerBoard POTD