Strength of Schedule


  by - Radio Host - Wednesday, November 14, 2012 10:36 AM
    |

Strength of Schedule
Every Sunday I get the polls in college football, then I go into a Sonny Corleone rant. I am ready to shoot first and ask questions later.

Florida escapes against Louisiana Lafayette despite being down by seven with two minutes to go and has to block a punt to win with :02 ticks left. The Gators remain number seven in the coaches' poll and the AP poll and sixth in the BCS poll. The same day Clemson beats Maryland by 35 points and falls a spot.

I then go to the Jeff Sagrin poll and find out that a few 5-5 tomato cans are ranked ahead of Clemson and Florida State and get even more steamed.

Four SEC teams with two losses are ahead of Clemson in the BCS poll and I get even more irritated.

But then I settle down and go back and read what Dabo SwinneyDabo Swinney
Head Coach
View Full Profile
says about the polls and I feel better. He says, "We just need to win our games and the polls will take care of themselves."

Dabo is right about this and under the current system the schedule and computers really haven't hurt Clemson that much. Let's face it, if Clemson beats NC State and South Carolina, then there is a great chance Clemson will go to the Sugar Bowl. It would be the second Sugar Bowl in school history and only the sixth BCS-type bowl (Four Orange Bowl appearances).

Clemson is currently 11th in the BCS and AP polls and ninth in the coaches poll. Florida and Florida State play each other, so I would assume an 11-1 Clemson team would move up one spot there. Georgia and Alabama will play in the SEC title game. I would hope the Tigers could move ahead of the loser of that game. Clemson would move ahead of South Carolina in the BCS poll if they beat the Gamecocks. They are already ahead of South Carolina in the other two polls.

So at 11-1 Clemson would be eighth in the BCS poll and maybe seventh in the coaches poll.

Is it fair to assume Clemson could finish in the top five if it beat NC State and South Carolina and then went on to beat Alabama or Georgia in the Sugar Bowl?

If two teams make it through the season undefeated and play in the BCS national title game, then Clemson would have lost nothing because of its schedule or the computer polls. Once the Tigers lost to FSU in Tallahassee, their national title hopes were dashed. Even with the nation's toughest schedule a one-loss Clemson team would not have jumped two undefeated teams to play in the national title game. Therefore, a top five finish was about as good as they could have hoped for.

Where the schedule did hurt is if they would have been undefeated and been left out of a national title game. It also hurts if the Tigers suffer a loss this week or next week and get left out of the BCS and are replaced by another two loss team.

Where Clemson needs to worry a little is in the future of the four-team national title playoff. A weak schedule may hurt a one-loss Clemson team in its chances to get into a four-team playoff. It could also hurt in a two-loss Clemson team's chances of getting an at-large bid to one of the remaining four games that are BCS-type of games but are not a part of the playoffs.

We don't know Clemson's schedule next year yet, but the Tigers do open at home against Georgia and close at South Carolina. We know Clemson gets FSU at home. Who knows how the rest of the ACC will break down, but Clemson may be in strong shape to win the league again or may be a BCS at-large candidate again next season and the schedule may be a bigger factor.

However, in this season Clemson's schedule is not a major factor in most scenarios over the next three weeks. One scenario that might doom Clemson's chances of going to the Sugar Bowl at 11-1 is if Oregon lost. That would once again bring up the strength of schedule argument. But at this point despite the schedule, it looks like an 11-1 Clemson team goes to the Sugar Bowl and a two-loss or three-loss Clemson teams goes to the Chic-fil-a Bowl. A 12-1 Clemson team has a chance to finish in the top five in the country while an 11-2 team has a shot at finishing in the top ten. So did the schedule really kill us in 2012?

The Brad Hughes All-State Insurance Agency





Prayer List
We have started a prayer list on the blog. Here are the guidelines:

If you are offended by prayer or prayer lists then I apologize in advance. The blog is free and the prayer list will be on the bottom of the page so you don’t have to read it.

If you would like to add someone to the list please email me at mickeyplyler@hotmail.com

*Please let me know when it is appropriate to take the person off of the prayer list.

Those who need our prayers include:Finn Brookover, Jo Ann Bachman, Kenneth Bryant, Pruitt Martin, Got igers and his family, David Rowland, Leonard, Gillespie and his family, Jim S, Daniel Rosborough, The Huffman family, Nancy Winkler, John Reeve, Ethel Southard, Vinnie Brock, Kaitlyn L, Susan Miller, Joyce Harley, Steve Proveaux, Jeffrey Greene, the Hutto family, Sherl Drawdy, Caleb Kennedy, Teresa O'Connor, Matt Jacobs,Perrin Seigler, Candee Massee, Lindsey Jordan, Sam Catoe, Tyler Felch, the Nicolopulos family, "the Jacksonville, FL guys", Kim Sims, the Coyle family, Ryleigh Tedder, Steve Lee, Kelly Trakas, Jimmy Moore, the Thomas. V Family, Emary Claire Young, Kitty Bowers,Julie Locke, the Scheider family, Lauren Kittles' family, Frank Gentry, Joyce Bussey, Stacey McKeown, Dale Childs, Larry Lentz, Jr, Carl Sharperson, Scott Hannon, William Perry, Tyler Swaney, Lillian, Mark Feit, David Frame, Chad Berry, the family of Matthew M. Watson, the Dowis family, Shervin Messer, Alan Putnam, the Olivers, Lee Tate, Ronnie Abrams, Eddie Greene, the Jackson family, Bill Vader, Jim Taylor, Tina DeWitt, Rock Horne, Christopher Tuten, Bobby Wayne Thomas, Emma and Danielle Carothers, Robert Ditty, Mr. and Mrs. Murray Smith, Dot Cartee, Ayden Mills, Millie Heatley, Lynn Martin and family, Michael Pinson, Jake David family, Angie Crowley, Ira, Mike Tolson, Poly Wells, Dr. Muriel Bishop, Jack Cunningham, Emily Jefford Meister, Zachary Stoller, Aaron Clackum, Pat James, Cortney Moore, William Moore, Angelia and Savannah Anderson, William Ross, Meredith Legg, Scott Johns, Frank Carroll, Brandon ThompsonBrandon Thompson
Defensive Tackle
#98 6-2, 310
Thomasville, GA

View Full Profile
, Alvin Sammons, Georgine McAlhaney, Glen Davis, Mike Price, Clay Childers, Aaron Knight, Danielle Johnston and family, Nicholas Abrams, Lana Kuykendall, Gary, Billy McLeroy, Gary G., William Huggins, Jim Bennett, Chantz Fowler, Ethel McElveen, Michele Gurganus, William Gentry, Lewis Usher and Tanya Sanders, Shon Cooper, Nick Collins, Travis Patterson, Jennifer Chancy, Amanda Peake, Danny Hammond, Chip Turner, Nick Collins, Allen Steen, The Sturkey Family, James Caylor, Ron Johnson, John Ellis Haddad, the Lance family, Marcus Lattimore, Nick Chrisley's family, Allison Williams, Lt. Kyle Walker, Summer and Joel Johnson, Nicole O'Donnell, Jennifer McManus, James O. Johnson, Hilton Pruett, our great country and the men and women in uniform that protect and serve it every day plus their families.


Rate this Story:
8 votes

Send Feedback to Mickey Plyler: Email | Comment
    |
Sign Up for Alerts
Features
Updates
Daily Digest