Over/Under


by - Radio Host -

Over/Under

A national sports talk show host suggested we do away with the NCAA committee for the football playoffs and let Las Vegas tell us the best for teams. I agree that no one knows football more than Vegas, but they also get it wrong a lot.

Each summer Vegas releases the over/under for each college team for their regular season wins total. This tends to upset fans of every school because they can't believe Vegas thinks they will only win that few games. Most fans tend to value their program more than the nation does.

This past year Vegas had Clemson's regular season over/under at 8.5 wins, so the Tigers went over with nine wins. Our rival was projected at 9.5, so their six wins was minus 3.5 which was the lowest in country.

Below is a look at how each team in the five power conferences did compared to their pre-season projections:

ACC Atlantic

Florida State 12 wins 1 over projection of 11.5

Clemson 9 wins 0.5 over projection of 8.5

Louisville 9 wins 1 over projection of 8

Syracuse 3 wins 2.5 under projection of 5.5

NC State 7 wins 1.5 over projection of 5.5

Boston College 7 wins 2 over projection of 5

Wake Forest 3 wins 0.5 under projection of 3.5

ACC Coastal

North Carolina 6 wins 2.5 under projection of 8.5

Virginia Tech 6 wins 2 under projection of 8

Miami 6 wins 1.5 under projection of 7.5

Pittsburgh 6 wins 1.5 under projection of 7.5

Georgia Tech 10 wins 3.5 over projection of 6.5

Duke 9 wins 0.5 over projection of 8.5

Virginia 5 wins 1.5 over projection of 3.5

SEC West

Alabama 11 wins 0.5 over projection of 10.5

Auburn 8 wins 1 under projection of 9

LSU 8 wins 1 under projection of 9

Ole Miss 9 wins 1.5 over projection of 7.5

Miss State 10 wins 2.5 over projection of 7.5

Texas A&M 7 wins even with projection of 7

Arkansas 6 wins 1.5 over projection of 4.5

SEC East

Georgia 9 wins 0.5 under projection of 9.5

South Carolina 6 wins 3.5 under projection of 9.5

Florida 6 wins 1.5 under projection of 7.5

Missouri 10 wins 2.5 over projection of 7.5

Tennessee 6 wins 0.5 over projection of 5.5

Kentucky 5 wins 1.5 over projection of 3.5

Vanderbilt 3 wins 3 under projection of 6

Big 10 East

Ohio State 11 wins 0.5 over projection of 10.5

Michigan State 10 wins 0.5 over projection of 9.5

Michigan 5 wins 2.5 under projection of 7.5

Maryland 7 wins 0.5 over projection of 6.5

Penn State 6 wins 1.5 under projection of 7.5

Indiana 4 wins 1.5 under projection of 5.5

Rutgers 7 wins 3 over projection of 4

Big 10 West

Wisconsin 10 wins 0.5 over projection of 9.5

Northwestern 5 wins 2.5 under projection of 7.5

Iowa 7 wins 1.5 under projection of 8.5

Nebraska 9 wins 1 over projection of 8

Illinois 6 wins 1 over projection of 5

Minnesota 8 wins 1.5 over projection of 6.5

Purdue 3 wins 0.5 under projection of 3.5

Pac 12 South

UCLA 9 wins 0.5 under projection of 9.5

Southern Cal 8 wins 1 under projection of 9

Arizona 10 3.5 over projection of 6.5

Arizona State 9 wins 1.5 over projection of 7.5

Utah 8 wins 3.5 over projection of 4.5

Colorado 2 wins 2 under projection of 4

Pac 12 North

Oregon 11 wins 0.5 over projection of 10.5

Stanford 7 wins 1.5 under projection of 8.5

Washington 8 wins 1 under projection of 9

Oregon State 5 wins 2 under projection of 7

Washington State 3 wins 2.5 under projection of 5.5

Cal 5 wins 2.5 over projection of 2.5

Big 12

Oklahoma 8 wins 2.5 under projection of 10.5

Baylor 11 wins 1.5 over projection of 9.5

Texas 6 wins 1.5 under projection of 7.5

TCU 11 wins 3 over projection of 8

Kansas State 9 wins 1.5 over projection of 7.5

Oklahoma State 6 wins 1.5 under projection of 7.5

Texas Tech 4 wins 2.5 under projection of 6.5 wins

West Virginia 7 wins 2.5 over projection of 4.5 wins

Kansas-Vegas did not release win projection

Notre Dame 7 wins 0.5 under projection of 7.5 wins

Biggest Vegas Surprises

+3.5 Georgia Tech, Arizona, Utah

+3.0 Rutgers, TCU

+2.5 Mississippi State, Mizzou, Cal, West Virginia

Biggest Vegas Disappointments

-3.5 South Carolina

-3.0 Vanderbilt

-2.5 Syracuse, UNC, Michigan, Northwestern, Washington State, Oklahoma, Texas Tech

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